Posted on Dec 8, 2014
Marine Corps Times
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From: Marine Corps Times

KABUL, Afghanistan — Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said Saturday the United States will keep as many as 1,000 more troops in Afghanistan than planned for the first part of 2015.

At a joint news conference at the presidential palace with President Ashraf Ghani, Hagel said the original plan to cut U.S. troop levels to 9,800 by the end of this year had been abandoned, but not because of a recent surge in Taliban attacks.

Hagel said the U.S. will keep up to 10,800 troops for the first few months of next year and then restart the drawdown, which is scheduled to reach 5,500 troops by the end of 2015.

The U.S. decided to keep additional forces in the country temporarily because planned troop commitments by U.S. allies for a NATO train-and-assist mission starting in January have been slow to materialize.

President Obama "has provided U.S. military commanders the flexibility to manage any temporary force shortfall that we might experience for a few months as we allow for coalition troops to arrive in theater," he said. "But the president's authorization will not change our troops' missions, or the long-term timeline for our drawdown," he added.

On his final visit to Afghanistan as U.S. defense secretary, Hagel said with striking optimism that he believes Afghans will successfully put down a surge in Taliban attacks in the capital and stabilize the nation.

Hagel arrived in Kabul on a previously unannounced trip one day after Obama declared he would nominate one of Hagel's former deputies, Ashton Carter, to succeed Hagel, who resigned under pressure Nov. 24.

In an interview with reporters traveling with him from Washington aboard a military aircraft, Hagel was in a reflective mood about America's longest war. He recalled arriving in Kabul in January 2002 as a member of a congressional delegation when security was so dicey that the lawmakers arrived under cover of darkness and left before dawn. Hagel at the time was a Republican senator from Nebraska.

The Taliban, which had ruled Afghanistan since 1996, were forced from power in late 2001 just weeks after a U.S.-led invasion prompted by the 9/11 terrorist attacks. But they recovered gradually after the U.S. shifted its military focus to Iraq in 2003, and by 2008 the U.S. was conceding that the war in Afghanistan was stalemated.

Hagel, on his fourth trip to Afghanistan as defense secretary, said it should not be surprising that the Taliban are still able to launch significant attacks in the capital.

"The Taliban are going to continue to have pockets of resurgence, and it's predictable that they would do everything they possibly could to disrupt" the new Afghan government under Ghani and Chief Executive Officer Abdullah Abdullah, Hagel said.

The Taliban clearly are aiming to disrupt the new government and undermine confidence in it. But Hagel said they have failed thus far and are unlikely to ever succeed.

"I have confidence in the Afghan security forces that they will continue to meet these challenges," he said.

Hagel said that during his visit he intended to discuss with Ghani and Abdullah the state of security in Kabul and ways that it can be improved. He said the main reason for his visit is to reinforce support for their new government, reiterate a long-term U.S. commitment here and to thank American troops.

The U.S.-led war in Afghanistan has lasted far longer than anyone predicted at the outset in October 2001, and the final result, after more than 2,200 U.S. deaths, remains in doubt even as Obama officially ends the U.S. combat mission Dec. 31.

Hagel said that in hindsight the struggle to prevent Afghanistan from reverting to a haven for al-Qaida has been difficult but worthwhile.

"As difficult, as challenging, as long as this has been, by any definition the country of Afghanistan, the people of Afghanistan, are far better off today than they were 13 years ago, if for no other reason than they have the opportunity to decide their own fate, their own way, on their terms," he said.

"They're not completely there yet, but they've come a long way and that's to the credit certainly of the United States," Hagel said.

At the peak in 2010-2011 the U.S. had 100,000 troops in Afghanistan. The Americans have fought alongside troops from a coalition of countries, including Britain, Canada, Australia, Italy, Denmark, Turkey and Poland.

About 9,800 U.S. troops are to remain after this year as part of a NATO mission, dubbed Resolute Support, to train and assist Afghan security forces and to carry out counter-terrorism missions. The U.S. troop total is to shrink further to 5,500 by the end of next year but the pace of the decline is yet to be decided.

Hagel said he would be consulting with the top U.S. commander here, Army Gen. John Campbell, about the troop drawdown and other issues.

http://www.marinecorpstimes.com/story/military/pentagon/2014/12/06/hagel-troops-afghanistan/19999033/
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Capt Richard I P.
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This is my surprised face.
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SFC Boots Attaway
SFC Boots Attaway
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We knew this was coming.
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CPT Aaron Kletzing
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With all do respect (genuinely), what can this move realistically hope to accomplish in the long run? A few more months of a larger force, then predictable drawdowns back to 5K troops. Aren't we ultimately betting on the viability of local Afghan Security Forces, in much the same way we were betting on Iraqi Security Forces over in Iraq? I'm not being cynical, just trying to ask a question -- I am open-minded here and ready to be educated if there are strong counterpoints out there in the RP community.
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CPT Aaron Kletzing
CPT Aaron Kletzing
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I'd like to add overall that if this move is in line with what the commanders on the ground are proposing, then I would tend to be more optimistic about it. We can't be too quick to judge if we don't have visibility on that dynamic.
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Capt Richard I P.
Capt Richard I P.
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CPT Aaron Kletzing Having been there (and advised/mentored multiple levels of multiple agencies of ANSF in multiple mission sets) I am pessimistic.

To re-post from a related topic: PO3 (Join to see) and SGT (Join to see) mused whether Afghanistan would be another Iraq.

I replied: "For it to be a repeat of Iraq there would have to be 1. A fully functional government before we invaded 2. Infrastructure and income other than foreign aid and drug production (either now or before we invaded-both) 3. A moderately functional, literate and at least partially cohesive national military 4. A concurrence by 50% or more of the population on a concept of nationality over tribalism and 5. Sufficient geo-political importance to maintain the US' and other powers' interest following a withdrawal."

https://www.rallypoint.com/locations/camp-leatherneck-afghanistan/answers/camp-leatherneck-turned-over-to-afghan-forces-your-take
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SFC Maintenance Supervisor
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Yes Sir, international politics and policies are not one size fits all.
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CPT Aaron Kletzing
CPT Aaron Kletzing
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CPT Michael Barden great points there, brother. Agree with your insights. You and I seem to have had similar experiences when Generals came to the AO. It became a circus!
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SFC Mark Merino
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Our military is dedicated to the defense of our great Nation and puts their life on the line 24/7. Now, we pinch pennies and cut back benefits for them and continue to invest in the security of the world but do not factor in the necessary costs of post military care and entitlements. How many times can we deploy the same American troops time after time after time and not make their care the priority of National Defense? America, I beg you, invest in the care of our military so that they KNOW that their sacrifies are appreciated. Invest in the futures of those who are willing to fight and die to enable these foreign policies. Make them the primary concern. Selfless sacrifice does come with a price.
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LTC Team Chief
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Well said, SFC Merino!  At the current pace, we'll be training with wooden M16s, M4s, and M9s.
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SSG(P) Instructor
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This war in the Middle East will never be over. Especially as long as we are reliant on OIL. Dangerous men come from these parts. Islam, the fastest growing religion, with best estimates of extremism in 10-20% of the population. It behooves us to have our fingers in the pie in these parts for the duration. I know a lot of you may disagree, but that is short-sighted. We need to cut off the head of snake, not the tail, that can regrow. Unfortunately, I do not think this administration has the will nor the fight to take it to completion, nor the next administration.
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SFC Joe S. Davis Jr., MSM, DSL
SFC Joe S. Davis Jr., MSM, DSL
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Couldn't have agreed more, or said it better than "Albert Einstein" or your post. Diligently expressed.
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