1SG Private RallyPoint Member 479446 <div class="images-v2-count-0"></div>To recap, here's the list of current possible Democrat candidates:<br /><br />Bernie Sanders b. 1941<br />Joe Biden b. 1942<br />Ed Rendell b. 1944<br />Jim Webb b. 1946<br />Hillary Rodham Clinton b. 1947<br />Jeanne Shaheen b. 1947<br />Al Franken b. 1951<br />Luis GutiƩrrez b. 1953<br />Mark Warner b. 1954<br />Brian Schweitzer b. 1955<br />Jay Nixon b. 1956<br />Andrew Cuomo b. 1957<br />Janet Napolitano b. 1957<br />Maggie Hassan b. 1958<br />Tim Kaine b. 1958<br />Rahm Emanuel b. 1959<br />Amy Klobuchar b. 1960<br />George Clooney b. 1961<br />Tammy Baldwin b. 1962<br />Martin O'Malley b. 1963<br />Steve Bullock b. 1966<br /><br />And here's the list of Generation X members in that list that, historically speaking, have the best shot at winning a national contest.<br /><br />George Clooney--Actor<br />Tammy Baldwin--US Senator (WI)<br />Martin O'Malley--Gov. Maryland<br />Steve Bullock--Gov Montana<br /><br />And the current list of possible Republican candidates:<br /><br />Peter King b. 1944<br />George Pataki b. 1945<br />Herman Cain b. 1945<br />Donald Trump b. 1946<br />John R. Bolton b. 1948<br />Jim Gilmore b. 1949<br />Mitch Daniels b. 1949<br />Rick Perry b. 1950<br />Ben Carson b. 1951<br />John Kasich b. 1952<br />Rick Scott b. 1952<br />Jeb Bush b. 1953<br />Carly Fiorina b. 1954<br />Lindsey Graham b. 1955<br />Mike Huckabee b. 1955<br />Michele Bachmann b. 1956<br />Bob Ehrlich b. 1957<br />Rick Santorum b. 1958<br />Rick Snyder b. 1958<br />Mike Pence b. 1959<br />Susana Martinez b. 1959<br />Chris Christie b. 1962<br />Rand Paul b. 1963<br />Sarah Palin b. 1964<br />Scott Walker b. 1967<br />Ted Cruz b. 1970<br />Bobby Jindal b. 1971<br />Marco Rubio b. 1971<br /><br />The Gen Xers:<br /><br />Chris Christie--Gov. New jersey<br />Rand Paul--US Senator (KY)<br />Sarah Palin--Former Gov. Alaska<br />Scott Walker--Gov. Wisconsin<br />Ted Cruz--US Senator (TX)<br />Bobby Jindal--Gov. Louisiana<br />Marco Rubio--US Senator (FL)<br /><br />As I stated before, this is not to say that either party would not nominate anyone from the list, but historically speaking, the ones identified are the ones with the best chance.<br /><br />Best chance, in this case means, that if one party chooses one of these, or some other yet to emerge, Generation X member as their candidate, and the other party chooses an older cohort member, the great likely hood is for the Gen X candidate to win--it's only gone the other way twice before.<br /><br />What if both parties choose candidates from older generations? That's what happened in 1848 and resulted in the election of Zachary Taylor, and one of the reasons I think Polk was elected early. Such a result could indicate the early election of Barack Obama as a Gen X member, but, first, he was elected against a Silent generation member, McCain two cohorts older, and then re-elected against a Boom generation member, Romney. This seems a clear indication that this is the age of Generation X leadership.<br /><br />The oldest Millennials will be just barely eligible to run for the Presidency (must be over 35 years old on Inauguration day), those born between 20 Jan 1982 and 31 Dec 1982, in fact, so a very narrow set. The two Millennials in the House, Patrick Murphy (FL18-D, b. 30 Mar 83) and Elise Stefanik (NY21-R, b. 2 Jul 84) won't be eligible, and the youngest serving Governor is Nikkie Haley, definitely a Gen Xer at 45 by Inauguration Day. Possible, but unlikely that the Millennials will upset Gen X in this cycle. Millennials will continue to increase in importance though, as a voting block--they've been aging past 27 years old--the point when most Americans who vote, start to take voting seriously. Digging into Generational Theory and Presidential politics a bit further. 2015-02-16T12:39:27-05:00 1SG Private RallyPoint Member 479446 <div class="images-v2-count-0"></div>To recap, here's the list of current possible Democrat candidates:<br /><br />Bernie Sanders b. 1941<br />Joe Biden b. 1942<br />Ed Rendell b. 1944<br />Jim Webb b. 1946<br />Hillary Rodham Clinton b. 1947<br />Jeanne Shaheen b. 1947<br />Al Franken b. 1951<br />Luis GutiƩrrez b. 1953<br />Mark Warner b. 1954<br />Brian Schweitzer b. 1955<br />Jay Nixon b. 1956<br />Andrew Cuomo b. 1957<br />Janet Napolitano b. 1957<br />Maggie Hassan b. 1958<br />Tim Kaine b. 1958<br />Rahm Emanuel b. 1959<br />Amy Klobuchar b. 1960<br />George Clooney b. 1961<br />Tammy Baldwin b. 1962<br />Martin O'Malley b. 1963<br />Steve Bullock b. 1966<br /><br />And here's the list of Generation X members in that list that, historically speaking, have the best shot at winning a national contest.<br /><br />George Clooney--Actor<br />Tammy Baldwin--US Senator (WI)<br />Martin O'Malley--Gov. Maryland<br />Steve Bullock--Gov Montana<br /><br />And the current list of possible Republican candidates:<br /><br />Peter King b. 1944<br />George Pataki b. 1945<br />Herman Cain b. 1945<br />Donald Trump b. 1946<br />John R. Bolton b. 1948<br />Jim Gilmore b. 1949<br />Mitch Daniels b. 1949<br />Rick Perry b. 1950<br />Ben Carson b. 1951<br />John Kasich b. 1952<br />Rick Scott b. 1952<br />Jeb Bush b. 1953<br />Carly Fiorina b. 1954<br />Lindsey Graham b. 1955<br />Mike Huckabee b. 1955<br />Michele Bachmann b. 1956<br />Bob Ehrlich b. 1957<br />Rick Santorum b. 1958<br />Rick Snyder b. 1958<br />Mike Pence b. 1959<br />Susana Martinez b. 1959<br />Chris Christie b. 1962<br />Rand Paul b. 1963<br />Sarah Palin b. 1964<br />Scott Walker b. 1967<br />Ted Cruz b. 1970<br />Bobby Jindal b. 1971<br />Marco Rubio b. 1971<br /><br />The Gen Xers:<br /><br />Chris Christie--Gov. New jersey<br />Rand Paul--US Senator (KY)<br />Sarah Palin--Former Gov. Alaska<br />Scott Walker--Gov. Wisconsin<br />Ted Cruz--US Senator (TX)<br />Bobby Jindal--Gov. Louisiana<br />Marco Rubio--US Senator (FL)<br /><br />As I stated before, this is not to say that either party would not nominate anyone from the list, but historically speaking, the ones identified are the ones with the best chance.<br /><br />Best chance, in this case means, that if one party chooses one of these, or some other yet to emerge, Generation X member as their candidate, and the other party chooses an older cohort member, the great likely hood is for the Gen X candidate to win--it's only gone the other way twice before.<br /><br />What if both parties choose candidates from older generations? That's what happened in 1848 and resulted in the election of Zachary Taylor, and one of the reasons I think Polk was elected early. Such a result could indicate the early election of Barack Obama as a Gen X member, but, first, he was elected against a Silent generation member, McCain two cohorts older, and then re-elected against a Boom generation member, Romney. This seems a clear indication that this is the age of Generation X leadership.<br /><br />The oldest Millennials will be just barely eligible to run for the Presidency (must be over 35 years old on Inauguration day), those born between 20 Jan 1982 and 31 Dec 1982, in fact, so a very narrow set. The two Millennials in the House, Patrick Murphy (FL18-D, b. 30 Mar 83) and Elise Stefanik (NY21-R, b. 2 Jul 84) won't be eligible, and the youngest serving Governor is Nikkie Haley, definitely a Gen Xer at 45 by Inauguration Day. Possible, but unlikely that the Millennials will upset Gen X in this cycle. Millennials will continue to increase in importance though, as a voting block--they've been aging past 27 years old--the point when most Americans who vote, start to take voting seriously. Digging into Generational Theory and Presidential politics a bit further. 2015-02-16T12:39:27-05:00 2015-02-16T12:39:27-05:00 MAJ Private RallyPoint Member 479468 <div class="images-v2-count-0"></div>Interesting Response by MAJ Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 16 at 2015 12:49 PM 2015-02-16T12:49:35-05:00 2015-02-16T12:49:35-05:00 Capt Richard I P. 491188 <div class="images-v2-count-0"></div>I'll echo <a class="dark-link bold-link" role="profile-hover" data-qtip-container="body" data-id="84196" data-source-page-controller="question_response_contents" href="/profiles/84196-11a-infantry-officer-jfhq-la-milpac-region-v">MAJ Private RallyPoint Member</a> and say REALLY interesting. Response by Capt Richard I P. made Feb 22 at 2015 11:12 AM 2015-02-22T11:12:30-05:00 2015-02-22T11:12:30-05:00 2015-02-16T12:39:27-05:00