Does anyone have an estimate as to how long does it take for promotion cut-off score to come down from 798 to anything attainable ?

2019-02-11T12:30:46-05:00

Response by MSG Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 11 at 2019 12:49 PM

2019-02-11T12:49:10-05:00

It entirely depends on availability of open billets for your next higher grade. That can fluctuate a lot depending on your MOS strength, retention, and promotion rate of your seniors to the next higher grade... The only thing you can really do is speak to your representative at the Office of the Chief of Military Intelligence (OCMI) for current projections (still highly speculative). In the mean time, do everything in your power to increase your promotion points so that you're near the top of the list when promotion points do drop.

Response by SFC Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 11 at 2019 1:48 PM

2019-02-11T13:48:35-05:00

Completely dependent on your MOS. As a rule, the more technical the MOS, the smaller the field, the more you need E4s and the less you need supervisors and NCOs. For instance, if you look at chaplain assistants, there is one E7 for and entire Division.
You promote when a spot opens. A spot opens when some leaves the Army or promotes out of their slot. So a small field of higher rank typically translates into slower promotions for the lower ranks. (this is not true for officers, which is why so many MI officers are branch detailed to Infantry as LTs).
Your best bet is to look at the history of your MOS promotion points. If it has been maexed for a year or more, it's time to find a new job.

Response by SGM Bill Frazer made Feb 11 at 2019 8:01 PM

2019-02-11T20:01:41-05:00

try flippin years!

Response by WO1 Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 11 at 2019 8:59 PM

2019-02-11T20:59:28-05:00

Back when I was SGT(P) the points for my MOS were consistency 798 but would sometimes drop to 780, even around 750 once. That lasted for about 3-4 years!

Response by SFC Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 11 at 2019 10:34 PM

2019-02-11T22:34:01-05:00

I still think they dont teach this. dont look at the points. Think of it as. You have x amount of open slots per month. 798 means no slots open. You have y amount of promotables. Put all of y and arrange them in order of amount of promotion points. Number x ( total number of slots) thats your promotion point cut off. But like SFC Boyd stated. If its slways 798, try to find a new mos.
The point system basically puts everyone in an order or priority to promote but doesn't tell you where you stand in your priority. So look at the trend reports. and make sure you're at the top of the list.

Response by SFC Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 12 at 2019 10:08 AM

2019-02-12T10:08:54-05:00

Thank you all for your coments. I think I can raise my PT score and take more army e-learning classes to raise my score. However, I don’t think I can reach 700 ever. I just Hope points drop under 400 and I’ll be picked.

Response by SPC(P) Private RallyPoint Member made Feb 12 at 2019 10:34 AM

2019-02-12T10:34:01-05:00

It can take anywhere from months to years.. I’m a 35P. Maxed points as well. I’ve met numerous NCOs who waited YEARS to get beyond SPC.
And so, I’m looking for a new job.

Response by 1LT Shaun Ray made Feb 13 at 2019 12:02 AM

2019-02-13T00:02:03-05:00

This depends on MOS and what the Army says it a critical MOS at the given time. If you want fast promotions then go combat arms (11B, 11C, 12B, 18, 19D, 19K). Those typically hover at 350/450 and sometimes much less. If you are breathing, can qualify well, a few schools then you will make E5/E6 in 5 years or less. Otherwise, you will need correspondence courses, schools, promotion boards, OR just go to Ranger School OR get a college degree. Advancement is purely based on your merit.

Response by SSG Julius H. made Aug 8 at 2019 12:59 PM

2019-08-08T12:59:22-04:00

I know this is a late answer but I was just promoted to SSG (AGR) 25U. The points were at 798 for like 8 months then dropped to 325. So I agree with SFC Boyd, it depends on your MOS.