Posted on Feb 21, 2016
Is the hype over Trump winning S. Carolina overrated?
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Trump won S. Carolina with 32.5% of the vote which means that 67.5% of the vote did not go for him. 67.5% of the vote was distributed between the other 5 candidates. Jeb Bush dropped out. Where would his 7% have gone if he had dropped out before? What would it have looked like if there were only 2 candidates to cast a vote for instead of 6?
Edited 9 y ago
Posted 9 y ago
Responses: 12
It is also true then that about 78% of the citizens of SC didn't vote for Cruz or Rubio either. I am not sure the 67.5% stat is much to hang your hat on. Trump has now won two primaries. The GOP needs to get Kasich and Carson to hang up the spurs and see what happens. It is not a guarantee all of the votes will go to Rubio or Cruz.
Carson's could mostly go to Trump as he is an outsider. Also don't forget momentum and some will jump on the bandwagon of the already winning Trump. Even with 3 in the race, Trump may still be the guy to beat. He is getting his third of the vote already. Cruz and Rubio would need every vote to go their way the now departed Bush votes are divided up and ultimately the Kasich/Carson votes. Not likely they will get them all.
Carson's could mostly go to Trump as he is an outsider. Also don't forget momentum and some will jump on the bandwagon of the already winning Trump. Even with 3 in the race, Trump may still be the guy to beat. He is getting his third of the vote already. Cruz and Rubio would need every vote to go their way the now departed Bush votes are divided up and ultimately the Kasich/Carson votes. Not likely they will get them all.
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As I have said numerous times. Too many players on the field. Diluted message.
What you describe above is why we have a 2 party system, as opposed to a multi-party system. It's just not beneficial to have more than a "few" players on the field at a time. The more people competing, the more fragmented the vote becomes, and the more dissatisfied the "majority" of the voter base becomes.
What you describe above is why we have a 2 party system, as opposed to a multi-party system. It's just not beneficial to have more than a "few" players on the field at a time. The more people competing, the more fragmented the vote becomes, and the more dissatisfied the "majority" of the voter base becomes.
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Trump isn't picking up enough of the delegates to avoid a brokered convention. That's the important result so far
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