Taliban Splintering Means Deadlier Afghanistan

SSG Norman Lihou — Tue, 08 Dec 2015 11:04:33 -0500

A split in the Taliban will complicate any type of peace talks which have already collapsed as the hard liners see this as a point of weakness. Two Taliban networks will result in turf wars over areas in Afghanistan as controlled territory equals power for insurgent/terrorist networks. The two houses of the Taliban could result in new alliances or shifting loyalties as each vie to come out on top of the power grab. It is unlikely that there will be a settlement between the two parties; it is very reminiscent of criminal gangs and organized crime families fighting for dominance.

Read the rest:
http://intellpov.com/2015/12/08/taliban-splintering-means-deadlier-afghanistan/

As previous analysis has discussed, the Taliban succession problem has splintered the network with factions openly fighting each other. The crux of the problem is whether a family member of Mullah ...

Response by 1stSgt Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 8 at 2015 11:27 AM

1stSgt Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 08 Dec 2015 11:27:24 -0500

Nothing good will come of this. These people have been at one anothers throats for years and there is nothing we can do to stop it.

Response by PO3 Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 8 at 2015 12:17 PM

PO3 Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 08 Dec 2015 12:17:49 -0500

In fighting ... is a sign that they are consolidating power ... When they are done, usually they will become much stronger. So before that happen, what should we do? (this is the right question) :)

Response by 1SG Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 8 at 2015 12:28 PM

1SG Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 08 Dec 2015 12:28:28 -0500

I think that if the Taliban wants to engage in infighting, we should do what we can to safeguard the population and grab the popcorn.
The establishment of ISIS franchises in Afghanistan is a much more serious problem.

Response by SPC Private RallyPoint Member made Dec 8 at 2015 7:49 PM

SPC Private RallyPoint Member — Tue, 08 Dec 2015 19:49:18 -0500

Wait, so this copy paste article you just read about is a new theme on the split between the HIG, the Taliban, and the Haqqani Network that has existed since the earliest days?

Response by SPC Erich Guenther made Aug 23 at 2021 12:31 PM

SPC Erich Guenther — Mon, 23 Aug 2021 12:31:21 -0400

I see that happening as well. Right now they are unified regional tribes as they are fighting for a common goal and once that goal disappears it is back to their regional tribal structure and fighting between themselves endlessly. I don't see any outside power stepping in to stop that devolution because with the Taliban otherwise busy you can financially rape and pillage Afghanistan of it's natural resources just via bribes to the local Taliban in the area.... if your a neighboring power which is what most of the surrounding countries will do. Why sign an expensive national economic agreement when you can bribe a tribal faction.

Response by SPC Michael Duricko, Ph.D made Sep 10 at 2021 8:18 AM

SPC Michael Duricko, Ph.D — Fri, 10 Sep 2021 08:18:09 -0400

Maybe they will kill each other off.