What is the likelihood of a near future attack from China?

CH (MAJ) William Beaver — Mon, 11 May 2015 08:33:03 -0400

When I was in high school the big scare was the Soviet Union. After the USSR crumbled the big threat my friends and I talked about was China. Now in 2015, have trade agreements decreased the chances of any imminent attack from China? Has that trade become strained lately? Is the threat actually more real than it was 25 years ago? Or do we have a sort of 'second cousin' relationship with China right now. How much of an ally are they with us? Or are they truly an ally at all?

Response by Capt Richard I P. made May 11 at 2015 8:34 AM

Capt Richard I P. — Mon, 11 May 2015 08:34:41 -0400

Attack on U.S. American soil by Chinese-controlled non-deniable actors? .0001% in the next 10 years.

Response by CSM Private RallyPoint Member made May 11 at 2015 8:38 AM

CSM Private RallyPoint Member — Mon, 11 May 2015 08:38:02 -0400

About as likely as the zombie apocalypse.

Response by LTC Paul Labrador made May 11 at 2015 8:39 AM

LTC Paul Labrador — Mon, 11 May 2015 08:39:47 -0400

China has too much invested into the US to get into an open military conflict.

Response by SSgt Private RallyPoint Member made May 11 at 2015 9:10 AM

SSgt Private RallyPoint Member — Mon, 11 May 2015 09:10:17 -0400

I don't think a physical attack is likely. If they wanted, they could destroy us by crashing our economy with the amount of our debt that they own. They wouldn't need to waste the resources. They could just change the world currency from the dollar to the Yuan or, practically, ANYTHING else & destroy us as we now know ourselves.

Response by SGT Bryon Sergent made May 11 at 2015 9:32 AM

SGT Bryon Sergent — Mon, 11 May 2015 09:32:24 -0400

Once the EMP from Iran takes out or electronics, then china comes in. They have the troops to loose and still take over the country.

Response by PFC Tuan Trang made May 11 at 2015 10:17 AM

PFC Tuan Trang — Mon, 11 May 2015 10:17:31 -0400

Is 50/50, Depending the sistuation, If we talk bad about them, Threating, or trying to help other countries because china is messing with them. Then it more likely then attack.

Response by Col Private RallyPoint Member made May 11 at 2015 10:33 AM

Col Private RallyPoint Member — Mon, 11 May 2015 10:33:16 -0400

Not likely. I compare it to the cold war with Russia. It's all about posturing.

Response by SrA Edward Vong made May 11 at 2015 10:39 AM

SrA Edward Vong — Mon, 11 May 2015 10:39:21 -0400

Not likely, it's just going to be a demonstration of power for all eternity unless we all settle our difference and work together.

Superpowers clashing would cause the end of the world.

Response by Sgt Mark Ramos made May 11 at 2015 11:50 AM

Sgt Mark Ramos — Mon, 11 May 2015 11:50:34 -0400

What about military action against allies that we are bound to defend, like Japan or the Philippines? How far do they need to go to consider it an attack? The answer to your question is 100%. 100% chance of an attack against US interests. Just like with the USSR and now Russia. We will be engaged in proxy wars and under the radar conflicts over control of influence and resources for the rest of my life. If you refer to an invasion of the USA by China, then my answer is very unlikely; just like the USSR and now Russia.

Response by SPC Jan Allbright, M.Sc., R.S. made May 11 at 2015 12:04 PM

SPC Jan Allbright, M.Sc., R.S. — Mon, 11 May 2015 12:04:08 -0400

The PRC has 2.3 million troops, we have 1.5 million troops.
How would this play out logistically?
Are they going to put 2.3 million troops on LCAs and hit the Atlantic and Pacific coasts?
How many heavy lift aircraft flights would this take?
And then, who pays off the 1.2 Trillion $$ we owe them?

Response by MSG Private RallyPoint Member made May 13 at 2015 1:03 AM

MSG Private RallyPoint Member — Wed, 13 May 2015 01:03:38 -0400

While there are a few hot spots to be sure (the Spratly Islands, Taiwan, access through the Straits of Malacca), China's navy just isn't big enough to challenge us for the Pacific Pond. They will probaly be content to trade and get a free ride off of our Navy for protection through areas throughout the Pacific and Indian Oceans. We are a great Sea and Air power and probably won't get into land wars for a while. As China's Navy and Air Force grow, we should incorporate them into security plans for the globalization of trade and disaster relief efforts instead of footing the entire bill ourselves. There can and should be cooperation between our two nations as our appetite for being the world police declines and their appetite to leverage more of their citizens into the middle class increases.