Texas East - Dallas - Laredo

Sheppard AFB/Wichita Falls, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
69 65 87%
WINDS NORTHEASTERLY 9MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.09/

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Abilene Regional Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
70 65 84% WINDS NORTHERLY 9MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.12/

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Mineral Wells Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 2 1/2 MILES/
FOG/
69 66 90%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.07/

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Gainesville Municipal Airport,TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 2 1/2 MILES/
FOG/
67 66 98%
WINDS NORTHEASTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.10/

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Ft. Worth/Meacham Intl Air., TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
RAIN BEGAN 1612/ RAIN ENDED 1626/ RAINFALL 0.00
INCHES/
70 67 90% WINDS NORTHEASTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.06/

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Ft. Worth/Spinks Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 2 1/2 MILES/
FOG/
68 66 94%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.08/

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Dallas/Love Field Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 5 MILES/ LIGHT RAIN AND
FOG/ RAIN BEGAN 1531/ RAINFALL 0.00
INCHES/
70 66 87% WINDS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX
30.06/

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Dallas-Ft. Worth Int'l Airport, TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 4 MILES/ FOG
DRIZZLE ENDED 1619/ RAINFALL 0.00
INCHES/
68 67 96%
WINDS EASTERLY 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.05/
Tyler/Pounds Field Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 2 MILES/ HEAVY RAIN AND
FOG/ RAIN BEGAN 1539/ RAINFALL 0.42
INCHES/
68 67 96%
WINDS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 8MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.04/

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Killeen/Skylark Field Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
70 66 88%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY
10MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.02/

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Tempe/Miller Regional Air. TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 6 MILES/
FOG/
69 69 100%
WINDS NORTHERLY 8MPH GUSTING 16MPH 30.00//


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Nacogdoches Regl Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES / VISIBILITY 1 3/4 MILES/ RAIN AND
FOG/ RAIN BEGAN 1807/ RAINFALL 0.01 INCHES/
70 68 94%
WINDS EASTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.00//

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Plano/Dallas Exec Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
RAIN BEGAN 1718/ RAIN ENDED 1728/ RAINFALL 0.00
INCHES/
70 67 90%
WINDS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.03//

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Texarkana Regional Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 4 MILES/ LIGHT RAIN AND FOG/ RAINFALL 0.01
INCHES/
64 64 100%
WINDS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.08//

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Longview/Greg Cnty Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 3 MILES/ FOG/
70 65 84%
WINDS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 10MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.02//

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Lufkin/Angelina Cty Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
73 69 87%
WINDS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY 9MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.98//

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Beaumont Municipal Airport, TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
80 75 85%
WINDS EASTERLY 8MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.90//

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College Station/East Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 5 MILES/ LIGHT RAIN AND
FOG/ RAIN FALL 0.08
INCHES/ 73 71 94% WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY 14MPH GUSTING
XXXXX 29.93//

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Shreveport Regional Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
71 64 79%
WINDS EASTERLY 9MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.03//

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Houston/Bush Intl Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 5 MILES/ LIGHT RAIN AND
FOG/ RAINFALL 0.14 INCHES/
73 71 94%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY 13MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.89//

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Galveston/Scholes In Airport,TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 1 3/4 MILES/ HEAVY RAIN AND
FOG/ RAIN ENDED 2117/ BEGAN AGAIN 2128/ RAINFALL 0.07
INCHES/
79 76 90%
WINDS EASTERLY 22MPH GUSTING 30MPH 29.83//

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Victoria Regional Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 6 MILES/
HAZE/
72 69 91%
WINDS NORTHERLY 17MPH GUSTING 28MPH 29.83//

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Austin/Bergstrom AFB, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
70 68 93%
WINDS NORTHERLY 14MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.97//

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Beaumont/SE Texas Rgl Air. TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
PEAK WIND 26MPH/ 2109/ RAIN BEGAN 2111/ RAIN ENDED
2123/ RAINFALL 0.00
INCHES/
77 74 90%
WINDS EASTERLY 15MPH GUSTING 25MPH 29.89//

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Bay City Municipal Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 5 MILES/ LIGHT RAIN AND
FOG/
75 74 97%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY 12MPH GUSTING 23MPH 29.76//

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San Antonio Intl Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 1 1/2 MILES/ HEAVY RAIN AND
FOG/ RAINFALL 0.04
INCHES/
70 68 93%
WINDS NORTHERLY 10MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.97//

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Waco Regional Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 4 MILES/ FOG
RAIN ENDED 2151/ RAINFALL 0.27 INCHES/
69 66 90%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY 9MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.03//

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Laredo International Airport, TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
82 68 62%
WINDS NORTHWESTERLY 14MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.93//

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Sweetwater/ Avenger F, Air, TX.
CLEAR SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
74 69 59%
WINDS NORTHERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 30.14//

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Randolph Air Force Base Air, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
RAIN ENDED/ RAIN AND DRIZZLE BEGAN 2111/ BOTH ENDED
2125/
70 68 94%
WINDS NORTHERLY 14MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.95//

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McAllen/Miller Intl. Airport, TX
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
85 67 55%
WINDS NORTHWESTERLY 13MPH GUSTING 23MPH 29.89//

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Corpus Christi Intl Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7 MILES/
RAIN ENDED 2128/ RAINFALL 0.19 INCHES/
73 70 90%
WINDS NORTHWESTERLY 17MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.84//

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Alice International Airport, TX.
OVERCAST SKIES/ VISIBILITY 7
MILES/
72 69 91%
WINDS NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY 17MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.89//

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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Beta Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL [login to see] AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

...BETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER TEXAS...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 96.7W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ENE OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WNW OF PALACIOS TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued. Information on
ongoing coastal flooding can be found in coastal flood products
issued by local National Weather Service offices.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was
located by surface observations, satellites, and NOAA Doppler
weather radars near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 96.7 West. The
depression is drifting toward the northeast near 2 mph (4 km/h). A
slow motion toward the east-northeast is expected by this afternoon
and tonight. An east-northeastward to northeastward motion with
increasing forward speed is expected Wednesday through Friday. On
the forecast track, the center of Beta will move inland over
southeastern Texas through Wednesday and then over Louisiana and
Mississippi Wednesday night through Friday.

Data from surface observations and NOAA Doppler weather radars
indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph
(55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected
today with gradual weakening anticipated through Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: For the middle and upper Texas coast, additional
rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated storm totals up to 20
inches is expected. Significant flash and urban flooding is
occurring and will continue today. Minor to isolated moderate river
flooding is likely.

Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected east into the Lower
Mississippi Valley through the end of the week. Flash and urban
flooding is possible, as well as isolated minor river flooding on
smaller rivers.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two could occur through Tuesday near the
middle to upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast.

SURF: Swells generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front
over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of
Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL [login to see] UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. INFORMATION ON
ONGOING COASTAL FLOODING CAN BE FOUND IN COASTAL FLOOD PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 96.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 96.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 96.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.0N 96.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.6N 95.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.4N 93.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.7N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.1N 90.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.4N 88.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 96.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z


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Tropical Depression Beta Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL [login to see] AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

High-resolution visible satellite imagery, surface observations, and
NOAA Doppler weather radar data from San Antonio, Corpus Christi,
and Houston, Texas, indicate that Beta has moved a little farther
inland and has weakened to a tropical depression. The same data
also show that Beta has started a slow drift toward the northeast.
Deep convection has waned considerably since the previous
advisory, especially during the past few hours, with cloud tops now
warmer than -30 deg C, which no longer meets the Dvorak satellite
classification criterion. The initial intensity is 30 kt is based
on average Doppler velocities of 35-40 kt between 1500-2500 ft ASL
just to the southeast and south of Galveston.

The initial motion estimate is now 045/02 kt. Steering currents
around Beta remain weak. However, water vapor imagery indicates that
a broad mid- to upper-level trough over western Texas is moving
slowly eastward, and that feature should gradually force Beta
east-northeastward later today and tonight, followed by a faster
motion toward the northeast on Wednesday and Thursday across
Louisiana and Mississippi before dissipating in about 4 days. The
new NHC forecast track is similar to the previous advisory track,
which keeps Beta just inland from the Gulf coast, and lies near a
blend of the simple consensus models TVCA and GFEX, and the NOAA
corrected-consensus model HCCA.

Since Beta's center is forecast to remain just inland for the next
36-48 hours, chances of the cyclone regaining tropical storm status
are becoming less likely. As a result, the new official intensity
forecast shows Beta remaining a 25-30 kt depression during that
time, followed by weakening to a remnant low by 48 hours, and
dissipation over Mississippi or Alabama by 96 hours. This is
consistent with the various simple and corrected-consensus models.

Although Beta is now an inland tropical depression, the National
Hurricane Center will continue to issue advisories on the cyclone
due to its proximity to the Gulf of Mexico and until it becomes
clear that re-strengthening into a tropical storm is unlikely.

Key Messages:

1. Significant flash and urban flooding is occurring and will
continue for the middle and upper Texas coast today. The slow motion
of Beta will continue to produce a long duration rainfall event from
the middle Texas coast to southern Louisiana. Flash, urban, and
minor to isolated moderate river flooding is likely. Periods of
rainfall will spread east into the Lower Mississippi Valley and
portions of the Southeast through the end of the week. Flash, urban,
and isolated minor river flooding is possible on smaller rivers.

2. Persistent onshore flow will continue to result in above normal
high tides, and coastal flooding over the next few days will be slow
to recede. For information on the ongoing coastal flooding, please
refer to coastal flood products issued by local National Weather
Service offices.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/1500Z 28.9N 96.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 23/0000Z 29.0N 96.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 23/1200Z 29.6N 95.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 24/0000Z 30.4N 93.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 24/1200Z 31.7N 92.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 25/0000Z 33.1N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 25/1200Z 34.4N 88.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2020

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

FORT POLK LA 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

LAKE CHARLES 34 X 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)

CAMERON LA 34 1 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)

JASPER TX 34 1 5( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)

KOUNTZE TX 34 2 11(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 1 12(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)

GALVESTON TX 34 8 16(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)

HOUSTON TX 34 15 11(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)

FREEPORT TX 34 20 9(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 4 17(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)

MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

PORT O CONNOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

ROCKPORT TX 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)


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BETA WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL [login to see] AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2020

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETA

CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE
THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE
COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD
GRIDS.
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