Posted on Aug 16, 2019
SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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KCEW Crestview, FL. CLR 7 95 71 46 WNW7 29.97
KPNS Pensacola, FL. CLR 7 93 75 56 SSE8 29.95
KNSE Milton, FL. SCT 7 93 74 54 NW6 29.95
KPAM Tyndall, AFB SCT 7 89 79 73 W12 29.94
KMAI Marriana Municipal Airport, FL CLR 7 94 74 53 VRB05 29.94
KTLH Tallahassee Int'l Airport, FL. SCT 7 91 77 64 N6 29.94
KLCQ Lake City/Gateway Airport, FL. OVC 7 81 73 79 S7 29.99
KCTY Cross City Airport, FL. OVC 7 78 77 97 S6 29.98
KFHB Fernandina Beach Muni Airport, FL. OVC 7 87 75 68 SSW16 29.98
KJAX Jacksonville International Apt. FL. BKN 7 85 76 75 SW10 29.98
KSGJ St. Augustine Airport, FL. OVC 7 84 73 70 SSW15G25 30.02
KGNV Gainesville Regional Airport, FL. OVC 4RA- FG 75 74 96 SSE6 30.03 P0006/
KOCF Ocala Regional Airport, FL. OVC 5RA- FG 76 75 97 S8 30.03 P0001/
KDED Deland Municipal Airport, FL. OVC 7 88 72 59 SSW17G21 30.03
KDTS Destin Executive Airport, FL. CLR 7 91 76 61 S8 29.95
KBKV Brooksville/Hernando, FL. OVC 4RA- FG 77 75 94 S10G20 30.05 RAB09 P0009/
KMCO Orlando Internationa Airport, FL. OVC 4RA- FG 76 73 91 S13 30.06 RAB09 P0006/
KSFB Sanford International Airport, FL. SCT 7 88 74 63 SSW9 30.03
KTIX Titusville/Space Coast, FL. BKN 7 88 75 66 SSE8 30.05
KCLW Clearwater Air Park, FL. OVC 5RA- FG 75 73 94 S5 30.06 P0002/
KSPG St. Petersburg/Whitte, FL. OVC 3RA- FG 77 74 90 SSW5 30.06 P0002/
KPIE St. Petersburg/Clearwater, FL. OVC 5RA- FG 76 75 97 S12 30.06 P0000/
KORL Orlando Executive, FL. SCT 7 82 75 79 SSW15G25 30.05 RAB42E53 P0000/
KISM Kissimmee Municipal Airport, FL. SCT 7 78 75 90 SW10 30.08 RAE49/
KTPA Tampa International Airport, FL. OVC 4RA- FG 75 72 90 S9 30.08 CB N-E MOVG NE P0012/
KDAB Daytona Beach, FL. BKN 7 87 76 70 SW16 30.03 CB DSNT NE W/
KBOW Bartow Munipical Airport, FL. SCT 7 77 75 94 SW15 30.07
KVRB Vero Beach Regional Beach, FL. SCT 7 90 74 59 WSW9 30.06
KFPR Fort Pierce /St. Lucie Airport, FL. SCT 7 90 74 59 SW8 30.06
KSEF Sebring Regional, FL. BKN 7 89 73 59 SSW18 30.07 LTG DSNT ALQDS/
KSRQ Sarasota/Bradenton, FL. OVC 4RA- FG 79 77 94 SSE8 30.06 P0000/
KOBE Okeechobee, FL. OVC 6RA- FG 79 75 89 SW8 30.06 P0006/
KSUA Stuart, FL. OVC 3RA- FG VCTS 90 75 63 E6 30.05
KPGD Punta Gorda, FL. SCT 7 82 76 82 WSW10 30.09
KFMY Fort Myers, FL. CLR 7 83 73 72 VRB06 30.07
KPBI West Palm Beach, FL. BKN 7 CB 90 75 62 SSE18G24 30.05 LGT DSNT NW TSB48 OCNL LTGICCG S TSMOVG E CB DSNT W-NE/
KAPF Naples, FL. SCT 7 85 76 75 W6 30.07 RAE17 P0000/
KFLL Fort Lauderdale, FL. SCT 7 90 75 62 SSE14 30.05
KMIA Miami International Airport, FL. BKN 7 91 74 58 ESE14G20 30.06 TCU DSNT W/
KOPF Miami/Opa-Locka Airport, FL. SCT 7 93 75 56 S15 30.06
KTMB Miami-Kendall Tamian, FL. SCT 7 91 76 61 SSE14G18 30.06
KEYW Key West, FL. CLR 7 89 74 61 SSE6 30.06
KNQX Key West NAS, FL. SCT 7 92 73 54 S6 30.06
KZPH Zephyrhills Municipal Airport, FL. OVC 6RA- FG 74 72 94 SSW8 30.07 P0003/
KFIN Palm Beach/Flagler, FL. BKN 7 88 73 63 SSW14G21 30.00
KECP Panama City Beach, FL. SCT 7 96 73 48 NNE5 29.92
KVPS Destin-Fort Walton Beach Airport,FL. SCT 7 92 75 59 S10 29.93
KBCT Boca Raton Airport, FL. SCT 7 91 75 59 S16G22 30.06
KHWO Hollywood/North Perry Airport, FL. CLR 7 93 75 56 ESE14 30.06 WSHFT 1742/
KFXE Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport,FL CLR 7 92 74 56 SE16 30.05
KCRG Jacksonville/Executive Airport, FL. BKN 7 85 74 70 SW10 29.98
KHEG Jacsksonville Herlong, FL. BKN 7 84 73 70 SSW10 29.99
KOMN Ormond Beach Municipal, FL. SCT 7 88 73 63 SW17G23 30.01
KVNC Venice Municipal Beach, FL. SCT 7 81 77 89 SSW9 30.08
KLNA West Palm Beach, Latana, FL. BKN 7 87 81 81 SE10 30.05 LTG DSNT N AND NW/
KAAF Appalachicola Regional Airport FL. OVC 6RA- FG 79 74 85 CALM 29.95
KMTH Marathon, FL. Keys CLR 7 92 77 62 VRB05 30.06
KLEE Leesburg Municipal Airport, FL. BKN 7 83 72 70 SSW12 30.04
KDTS Destin Executive Airport, FL. CLR 7 92 77 62 WSW6 29.93

RAB = RAIN BEGAN E = END LGT = LIGHTNING CIG VARY = CLOUD BASES
CLR = CLEAR DSNT = DISTANT SLP178 SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
SCT = SCATTERED PARTLY CLOUDY WSHFT = WIND SHIFT PRESFR = PRESSURE FALLING RAPIDLY
BKN = BROKEN MOSTLY CLOUDY ALQDS = TOTALLY SURROUNDING PRESRR = PRESSURE RISING RAPIDLY
OVC = OVERCAST TSB = THUNDERSTORM BEGAN P0000 = ZERO RAIN

Friday 8/16/2019 SA1945GMT




Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
301 PM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.Soils remain very saturated across West Central and Southwest
Florida from above average rainfall accumulations within the last
several weeks. Persistent west to southwest flow is expected to
continue into the weekend. This pattern along with very high
atmospheric moisture will maintain a heavy rain threat. Given the
antecedent ground conditions, a flooding threat will persist.

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260 [login to see] 00-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-190817T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-
Including the cities of Wildwood, Lake Panasoffkee, Bushnell,
The Villages, St. Petersburg, Clearwater, Largo, Lakeland,
Winter Haven, Wauchula, Bowling Green, Zolfo Springs, Sebring,
Avon Park, Placid Lakes, Arcadia, Cedar Key, Yankeetown,
Crystal River, Homosassa, Hernando Beach, Bayport, Port Richey,
Hudson, Tampa, Apollo Beach, Westchase, Bradenton,
Anna Maria Island, Venice, Sarasota, Englewood, Port Charlotte,
Punta Gorda, Cape Coral, Captiva, Sanibel, Chiefland, Bronson,
Williston, Inverness, Brooksville, Spring Hill, Dade City,
Zephyrhills, Brandon, Plant City, Sun City Center, Parrish,
Lakewood Ranch, Myakka City, North Port, Babcock Ranch,
Fort Myers, and Lehigh Acres
301 PM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of central Florida, northern Florida, south central
Florida, southwest Florida, and west central Florida,
including the following areas, in central Florida, Hardee,
Polk, and Sumter. In northern Florida, Coastal Levy and Inland
Levy. In south central Florida, DeSoto and Highlands. In
southwest Florida, Coastal Charlotte, Coastal Lee, Inland
Charlotte, and Inland Lee. In west central Florida, Coastal
Citrus, Coastal Hernando, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal
Manatee, Coastal Pasco, Coastal Sarasota, Inland Citrus,
Inland Hernando, Inland Hillsborough, Inland Manatee, Inland
Pasco, Inland Sarasota, and Pinellas.

* Through Saturday morning

* Persistent heavy rain pattern along with favorable antecedent
ground conditions will continue the threat for flooding across
West Central and Southwest Florida.

* The heavy rainfall will have the potential to cause flooding
of low-lying and poor drainage areas. Flooding will also
affect roadways, rivers, creeks, and smaller streams. Remember
to not drive across flooded roadways. Turn around. Don`t
drown. Residents living in flood prone areas as well as along
rivers and faster flowing streams should keep alert to any
rapid rises in water levels and be ready to move to higher
ground if flooding is observed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$




Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
936 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Manatee River Near Myakka Head

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Bartow
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia

.Due to recent heavy rainfall, several rivers across the region are
in flood stage. With additional heavy rainfall expected, these
rivers are expected to remain in flood stage into the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-171335-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-190820T1000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.190814T0210Z.190817T1800Z.190820T0400Z.NO/
936 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.1 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of County
Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way
downstream of County Road 640 are completely covered by water. One
home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and
Squirrel Run Way downstream of County Road 640.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 15.1 feet
on Aug 25 1957.

&&


FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed

Alafia
Lithia 13.0 14.7 Fri 09 AM 15.0 14.7 13.7 12.7 11.5


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$






Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
936 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Manatee River Near Myakka Head

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Bartow
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia

.Due to recent heavy rainfall, several rivers across the region are
in flood stage. With additional heavy rainfall expected, these
rivers are expected to remain in flood stage into the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-171335-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-190818T1600Z/
/ZPHF1.1.ER.190813T0830Z.190817T0600Z.190818T1000Z.NO/
936 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet by after midnight
tomorrow. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park may be
closed. Lowland flooding occurs at the mobile home park near
Branchton on State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 11.2 feet
on Aug 25 1962.

&&


FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed

Hillsborough
Hillsboroug 10.0 10.6 Fri 09 AM 11.0 9.9 8.6 7.4 6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
2817 8225 2817 8215



$$




Flood Warning

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
936 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Manatee River Near Myakka Head

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Bartow
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia

.Due to recent heavy rainfall, several rivers across the region are
in flood stage. With additional heavy rainfall expected, these
rivers are expected to remain in flood stage into the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-171335-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-190820T1000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.190814T0745Z.190817T1800Z.190820T0400Z.NO/
936 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near
32nd and 33rd streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This compares to a previous crest of 14.6 feet
on Sep 28 2004.

&&


FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed

Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 13.2 Fri 09 AM 14.5 14.4 12.7 10.1 8.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
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Responses: 2
Lt Col John (Jack) Christensen
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Thanks Larry, not much sun in central Florida today, but lots of rain.
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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Capt Dwayne Conyers
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Keeping them situated in Tampa Bay, SSgt (Join to see)!
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