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MAJ Armored Combat Command Commander
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I will indulge in trying to explain the chess match using the Trinity:
- Military Acumen
- Rational Government
- Passion of the People

From the Afghanistan regime Military Perspective, it is yet to be known if they can defend themselves, win the war, and they certainly can't protect rural Afghans. If they continue to use heavy handed tactics that is a positive for the Taliban as people will more apt to side with the Taliban. If the Afghan forces move in and move out quickly, the land is still disputed.

If the Government does not support the people there will exist legitimate grievances. Corruption will sway peoples thinking. It is quite unfair that many of the Afghans eke out a living while government officials have mansions.

Passion of the People. They are stuck between a rock and a hard place. Even if the rural people try to stay neutral, Mao Tse Tung essentially you can build up followers with honey or violence with the goal of creating a peer sized army.
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PO3 Bob McCord
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Covert operations in Vietnam were working and later I found out how good they were working. A South Vietnam refugee told me years later back here in the states, that our special Forces, SEALS, Marine Recon etc. were very effective, and our big mistake was setting up posts on hilltops and just sitting there. Search and destroy and working with air strikes was working and the combination was working. But sitting in one LZ was bad. Evidently from what he said, they didn't like us on the move.
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Lt Col Charlie Brown
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This should not surprise anyone. Thanks for the post
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