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SGT Unit Supply Specialist
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PO1 William "Chip" Nagel
..."Cyber Impacts
Smeets details another significant challenge: “Causing any type of cyber effect, against any system or computer network, at an unspecific point in time, lacking strategic purpose, is easy. Causing a specific, targeted cyber effect, at a designated point in time, which achieves a strategic purpose, and outweighs the impact of negative consequences, is hard.” Like any strategic warfare effect, the use of CEO must be a means to a political end.10

Erik Gartzke states, “The inherent difficulty of credibly threatening cyberattacks without also compromising operational effectiveness means they are generally an inferior substitute to conventional warfare in performing the functions of coercion or conquest.” Threatening an adversary with a CEO shows our hand and allows an opportunity to mitigate the threatened network.

Anticipating target response is important for decision makers to understand potential outcomes of a CEO. This is difficult to predict due to various factors if the end state is to induce some level or coercion, leading to several possible outcomes:"...
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