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Edited 9 y ago
Posted 9 y ago
Responses: 8
Best case scenario?
Our enemies wear each other out fighting one another.
Engage when they're tired.
Destroy the worst of them, if they're still standing.
Some nasty business, getting the refugees to return home and rebuild.
Our enemies wear each other out fighting one another.
Engage when they're tired.
Destroy the worst of them, if they're still standing.
Some nasty business, getting the refugees to return home and rebuild.
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Cpl Julio Rosa
Thanks for the response 1SG.
Which group is the lesser evil who can also be strong enough to maintain power?
Which group is the lesser evil who can also be strong enough to maintain power?
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1SG (Join to see)
Cpl Julio Rosa See my comment under 1stSgt (Join to see) post for some detail.
At this stage, my personal opinion:
Al-Nusra and ISIL are bona fide bad guys who if they took over would be a regional disaster. It is bad enough in the areas they control now.
Assad would probably have the horsepower to regain control, with a little help from his friends - our enemies. It would be bloody and a disaster for everyone associated with picking a team other than his. Body count would conservatively be 100k. Major long-term political ramifications for the balance of power, too.
The "Free Syrian Army" is a joke. A construct of others (like the US Govt) to legitimize what could best be described as neighborhood militias. Having been in combat for a number of years, they are not nice people anymore and have grown into gang-like organizations. They are not cohesive, they are not ideologically aligned other than against Assad, and I think if they were to come to power, it would look a lot like the gong show in Libya.
That is a long way to explain that in my opinion, the horse we should back is Assad. But not until the rest of the bad actors exhaust each other for as long as it takes to degrade everyone down. What is left afterwards will no longer be a regional threat.
This is a fine mess, and a disaster of US foreign policy that might be of a magnitude to eclipse Iraq in terms of consequences when taken in combination with some of the other news from the region.
At this stage, my personal opinion:
Al-Nusra and ISIL are bona fide bad guys who if they took over would be a regional disaster. It is bad enough in the areas they control now.
Assad would probably have the horsepower to regain control, with a little help from his friends - our enemies. It would be bloody and a disaster for everyone associated with picking a team other than his. Body count would conservatively be 100k. Major long-term political ramifications for the balance of power, too.
The "Free Syrian Army" is a joke. A construct of others (like the US Govt) to legitimize what could best be described as neighborhood militias. Having been in combat for a number of years, they are not nice people anymore and have grown into gang-like organizations. They are not cohesive, they are not ideologically aligned other than against Assad, and I think if they were to come to power, it would look a lot like the gong show in Libya.
That is a long way to explain that in my opinion, the horse we should back is Assad. But not until the rest of the bad actors exhaust each other for as long as it takes to degrade everyone down. What is left afterwards will no longer be a regional threat.
This is a fine mess, and a disaster of US foreign policy that might be of a magnitude to eclipse Iraq in terms of consequences when taken in combination with some of the other news from the region.
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Syria is done. It's absolutely ruined. Once a country with great universities and great minds is in shambles. The population that has already left are not going to be coming back. Our best case scenario is just sit back and allow Russia to prop up Assad, end the conflict, and start rebuilding that nation.
I feel Russia will be more successful at this than us as they have little interest in the international public opinion or even their own. Allowing them to bring a level of violence on any dissidents within the country during reconstruction.
I feel Russia will be more successful at this than us as they have little interest in the international public opinion or even their own. Allowing them to bring a level of violence on any dissidents within the country during reconstruction.
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US to deploy small number of special forces to Syria in advisory role
U.S. President Barack Obama plans to deploy a small number of special operations forces to Syria to advise rebels Washington deems moderate, U.S. sources said on Friday, a step he has long resisted to avoid getting dragged into another war in the Middle East.
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