Posted on Oct 18, 2015
Do you think a computer can predict election results?
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Posted 10 y ago
Responses: 11
We can hope. I'm more concerned at the moment with who the nominees will be.
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Plotting statistical probabilities is not an efficient way to judge an election. People often vote on emotions, not facts. The folks that vote on a party line won't change their vote, but they might not show up to the polls. Swing voters are succeptable to a different trend: the October Surprise.
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Although those results sound great (depending on the nominee), I'd be more worried about the political affiliation of the owners and programmers of those computers and the electronic voting machines. He who owns/writes the code can manipulate the results.
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Yes and it will get smarter and faster each year. It really depends on how much data the computer receives. It can observe Facebook and twitter trends, polls, and other sources. It may take awhile, but it can happen.
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Computer models are created by people and as a result they reflect the biases of the people who created them.
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SSgt Alex Robinson Computers can predict anything, given enough information. And while that statement seems innocuous enough on the face of it, 'enough information' is the big white elephant in the room.
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Well if you look at that computers are used to target audiences as to who to send advertisements and messages to by analyzing your meta data from your internet use. then computers can probably predict who you are likely to vote for do that on a larger scale and they can predict to a over 90% of Americans will vote for their for yes.
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