Posted on May 1, 2017
LCpl Shane Couch
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Posted in these groups: 58712240 WWIIIKorea KoreaColdwar Cold War
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SSG Section Ncoic
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At the point, I think a war with N.Korea is on the table. But I think China is more annoyed by the North than US, at this point. A war would obviously be devastating to not only the Korean peninsula but internationally. You have Japan there as well. China would be forced to back them. For one, China needs N.K as an communist ally in SE Asia. Strategically, losing N.K would be detrimental to them because the US is literally surrounding China with hundreds of bases and airfields in the Pacific, Europe and Middle East. And let's not add why we're going debating war in the first place. A nuclear armed N.K. is a major league problem to our allies in the region. So it's already been an arms race with China's militarization in the South China Sea and advancement in funding for their defense. Just becomes a question of who willing to push the button to erase humanity. Peace talks haven't worked as well. Sanctions aren't working. We're considering China enemy and vice versa. Two countries that are so dependent on one another, feel threatened by each other. Crazy.
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SSG(P) Casualty Operations Ncoic
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Edited >1 y ago
Not a "World War" as that implies that all the world's powers would be involved, as they were in WW I and WW II. I think definitely a Regional War, as South Korea's situation needs no further explanation; China doesn't want a Western, "Free" nation on its southern doorstep; Japan doesn't want to keep having missiles fired at/over it; and we (the US) don't want to live with a nutcase threatening our Pacific installations and our West Coast with nuke ICBMs. I don't think Russia would have a dog in the fight, but would probably be amused by the US being entangled by another conflict that would stress our economy, logistical tail, and military production.
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CPT Lawrence Cable
CPT Lawrence Cable
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I'm not sure China would care if there was a "free " country on their border. From a strictly trade standpoint, China has a lot more to lose if South Korea or Japan is damaged as a trading partner. The Chinese have played a much tougher game than has been traditional as of late. Having your neighbor blow up one of your best customers isn't a way to stay in business.
Three generations of the crazy act has so far been the primary negotiating position of the N.Korean's. I don't see that being nearly as effective without Chinese backing.
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SSG(P) Casualty Operations Ncoic
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CPT Lawrence Cable - Good point, sir. A while back, China did publicly say that if the DPRK is attacked, they would support them, but if the DPRK initiates anything, they are on their own.
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Lt Col Scott Shuttleworth
Lt Col Scott Shuttleworth
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SSG(P) (Join to see) - China right now is all about money. They are making piles of it on the open market and anything that fat kid does to disrupt it will anger them and they probably will not back him. I don't think it will be a WW in the historic sense of fighting all over the world but there would be global interest with many countries.
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SP5 Steve Powell
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Just my nickle...think it will start and stop pretty quickly. Either Kim gets assassinated by China, CIA or his own people or a cruise missle makes it into his quonset hut or bunker. If it goes nuke...very sad that the foregoing didn't happen sooner. I think a "first strike (preemptive or otherwise) will take out all launchers (mobile & stationary)....and I think China will be on the horn with regrets not having taken more sensible and pre-emptive actions against NK sooner. China has an agenda but I don't believe WW3 results...not yet. Cold War with China has existed a long time "economically". Don't want another "action" in the region but can we agree this has lasted far too long and needs to end once and for all? I am a Korean baby...my career Army father was front line...came home on leave and April 1952...voila: yours truly. We don't need any more....
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