Posted on Mar 17, 2016
Do you think there will be an "AI War" like the Crypto Wars in the early 2000s?
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Computer Science
17DX: Cyberspace Operations
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17A: Cyber Warfare Officer
Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Computer Science 17DX: Cyberspace Operations Cyber 17A: Cyber Warfare Officer Artificial Intelligence (AI)
Posted 10 y ago
Responses: 6
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I hope not. But it is probably inevitable. The scary point that keeps a lot of really smart people up at night is the eventual end status of AI research, a Singularity event. I am a parent and if it doesn't happen during my lifespan (very likely) then it will probably hit during my children's lifetime. I just hope it likes us.....
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AI is inevitable. Then it comes down to: who created it? Humans with bad intentions, or good?
I think an AI war is probably also inevitable. Why would our progeny be any different than us?
I think an AI war is probably also inevitable. Why would our progeny be any different than us?
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I never like the term "Crypto War." Let's be honest; the Crypto Wars, which have been going on since the early 90s, is about Government's attempts to *reduce* people's security in an increasingly technological age in order to make mass surveillance easier. In that sense, it is a war between governments and their citizens, not against an actual enemy force.
That said, do we even know what an "AI War" would look like? What is even meaningfully encompassed by the term? We have computers now that can achieve double-digit Petaflops (1Petaflop = 1 quadrillion floating point operations per second), and yet nothing close to the conventional views of "AI" yet exists. I'm not sure we can meaningfully analyze what an "AI" war would mean until we get dramatically closer to actually mimicking intelligence as an emergent behavior.
That said, do we even know what an "AI War" would look like? What is even meaningfully encompassed by the term? We have computers now that can achieve double-digit Petaflops (1Petaflop = 1 quadrillion floating point operations per second), and yet nothing close to the conventional views of "AI" yet exists. I'm not sure we can meaningfully analyze what an "AI" war would mean until we get dramatically closer to actually mimicking intelligence as an emergent behavior.
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MAJ (Join to see)
Interesting note #1: Just this month, NIST announced a draft of SP 800-175B, "Guideline for Using Cryptographic Standards in the Federal Government: Cryptographic Mechanisms." In it, they formally de-certified "Escrowed Encryption Standard" (EES), which was the basis for the failed Clipper Chip, as well as SkipJack, the symmetric algorithm that would actually get used by EES for securing the conversation. Seeing as the Clipper Chip was the single most visible point of the "Crypto Wars" (though I'd argue that the publication of PGP was more important), it seems wonderfully timed for this conversation.
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MAJ (Join to see)
Interesting note #2: Star Trek TNG's "Lt. Cmdr. Data" is quoted a mere 27 years ago ("The Measure of a Man", aired Feb 13, 1989) as achieving "an ultimate storage capacity of eight hundred quadrillion bits" and "sixty trillion operations per second." While the former is still impressive (roughly 91,000 Terabytes, compared to the largest general-public commercial drives of today being 8 Terabytes and the largest dedicated storage arrays being a few thousand Terabytes), the latter is a mere 60 Teraflops. While about 1,000 times better than your average new computer purchased today, it's about 500 times slower than the best computers as mentioned above. We've dramatically passed Lt. Cmdr. Data in processing capability, and no sign of sentience yet.
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Col (Join to see)
Alphago and Self learning AI systems are coming online. Combine that with efforts to open source AI, so you think Big USG will try to slow it down? AI is a huge part of the DoD's Third Offset strategy (1st was Nukes. 2nd was precision, GPS and Airland battle and yes crypto). It has the potential to derail the DoD's future efforts
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it is going on right now with the Ransom ware from North Korea that was made public this week. Also any means of commutations is subject to be use in info warfare. We do it they do it have been for a long time.
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