Does anyone believe Texas is a true toss up state?

I'll say it here and I hope I'm wrong. Texas will go democrat.

Why you ask? Look at the maps of Florida from the 2008 and 2012 election. The major cities are the only blue spots. The entirety of the remainder of the state was red. The population centers turned the state in those examples and the same will happen with Texas this year.

The sparse population across the state won't be enough to counter liberal havens like Austin, DFW, and San Antonio. The fact that trump wants to reform immigration and not grant citizenship to illegals will help fuel the flip.

I hope I'm wrong. I really really hope I'm wrong. I just don't think I am and I tend to be a realist.

Liberal states will be liberal states and unfortunately, they are escaping their liberal states and moving to states with decent economies. They refuse to understand that their liberal votes destroyed their states of origin and forced them to find greener pastures. Votes do have consequences and i'm seeing a lot of foreign tags in TX from CA, NY, NJ, PA, etc.

I've often thought about creating a billboard and posting it at all of the major highways into TX that states, "Welcome to Texas. If you left your dying, overtaxed state after voting for the democrats. Stop voting or go home!"

It's possible that Texas could go the other way this election, although I don't think it is very likely.

Trump is pretty unlikeable for a lot of conservatives, and the only thing that I think is keeping him afloat down here is that Hillary is even more unlikeable.

If there were a different Democrat nominee I would not be horribly surprised to see Texas go Blue this year. It would still be a shock, sure, but most of the bigger cities are already voting liberal in local elections.