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Current conditions at
Little Rock, Adams Field (KLIT)
Lat: 34.73°NLon: 92.24°WElev: 259ft.
Mostly Cloudy
84°F
29°C

Humidity 65%
Wind Speed W 8 mph
Barometer 29.81 in (1009.5 mb)
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 89°F (32°C)
Last update 31 Aug 2:53 pm CDT

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Detailed Forecast
This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 97. South southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
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Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. East southeast wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

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Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

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Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1am.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around
5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Chance of precipitation is 60%.

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Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms. High near 85. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

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Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. South southwest wind
around 5 mph.

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Thursday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

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Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

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Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. North northeast
wind 5 to 10 mph.

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Friday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63.

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Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 80

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Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

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Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1247 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020

.AVIATION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms have moved through much of the
area. Convection continues in south Arkansas along a boundary and
additional showers are moving into western Arkansas. Another MCS
is anticipated to move through the state late tonight. Mainly MVFR
to VFR conditions are anticipated.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 642 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020)
AVIATION...Updated with a discussion for the 31/12Z TAFs

Scattered TS are entering the fcst area around the FT Smith area
this AM, and are expected to continue moving E/SE through the
Cntrl part of the state, likely impacting HOT and ADF, and
possibly LIT with some lingering VCSH/VCTS. Following morning
precip, SCT mid lvl cloud deck will persist across the state, w/
VFR conditions through the afternoon. VCTS will be possible
across the Nrn portion of the state from leftover convection out
of Nrn MO this AM.

PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 415 AM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020)
SHORT TERM...Today Through Tuesday Night

Recent mesoanalysis data indicated very subtle upper troughing over
the Cntrl MS river valley, and a weak sfc low located over the Red
River valley. A weak stationary bndry was evident through sfc
pressure troughing, extending E from Cntrl OK and across Cntrl AR.
Radar mosaic imagery also indicated some scattered convection
beginning over Ern OK along the aforementioned bndry.

Into Mon morning, precip coverage is expected to increase over Wrn
and Cntrl AR along the stationary bdnry where moisture convergence
will be maximized, however organization of any convection is not
expected. PoPs will persist over parts of Nrn and N/Ern AR Mon
afternoon as CAM guidance continues to prog convection currently
located over Ern NE to continue marching S/Ewrd, reaching the
Natural State sometime around 18Z. Temperatures Mon around the
region will return to normal values with highs in the upper 80s to
low 90s, but HI values remaining tame for most areas.

Late Mon night/early Tues morning, attention turns back to Wrn and
S/Wrn AR for flooding potential. HI-res CAM guidance has been
trending towards another round of thunderstorms taking on a
QLCS/bowing segment storm mode tracking through Wrn AR. Mon evening,
sfc cyclonic flow over Cntrl OK will result in a cold front
positioned from S/W OK into S/E KS. Convection is progged to
initiate from this bndry and progress Ewrd through a moderately
unstable evening bndry layer, characterized by MLCAPE of 2500+ J/kg
and weak bulk shear of 20-30 kts. Upscale growth into a linear
segment of convection is expected as the system moves Ewrd, and a
LLJ of 30+ kts co-located w/ PWATs > 2" will help fuel upscale
development and efficient rain rates. The issue at hand is the track
the current guidance takes overnight convection...right over Wrn and
S/Wrn AR, which has received record amounts of monthly rainfall, and
has extremely compromised FFG values with some areas <2"/3 hrs.
Potential severe hazards accompanying Mon night/Tues morning storms
will include damaging wind and some hail, and flooding concerns are
certainly elevated, with flooding headlines possibly needed if
current guidance trends persist.

Through the remainder of the short term, unsettled weather remains
over the state as upper flow becomes more S/Wrly with an approaching
shortwave trough. Multiple perturbations will traverse through the
mean flow on Tues, and keep PoPs elevated across the Nrn half of the
state, with cooler temps fcst under more persistent cloud cover and
precip, while Srn AR will stay in the lower 90s on the first day of
climatological fall.

LONG TERM...Wednesday Through Sunday

A nearly stationary front near the Arkansas and Missouri border will
ease through the region Wednesday/early Thursday. Good chances of
showers and thunderstorms will continue, with maybe another inch or
two of precipitation across northern/western sections of the state.

Later on Thursday, a northwest wind flow aloft will drive a new cold
front this way from the Plains. This front will barrel through the
region, and will be followed by cooler and drier air.

Overall, below average daytime temperatures are expected given
clouds/precipitation early in the period, and cooler conditions
later on. Readings at night will be closer to average early on, and
below normal later.

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
256 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
256 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Monday, periods of showers and thunderstorms will persist around
Arkansas, mainly across northern portions of the state this
afternoon. Some thunderstorms could be strong to severe, with
damaging winds and some hail.

Late Monday night and into early Tuesday morning, another round of
thunderstorms will be possible over western and northwestern
Arkansas, some of which could be strong to severe, and efficient
rainfall producers. Primary hazards will include strong to damaging
winds and hail. Additionally, heavy rainfall associated with these
storms may pose a flooding risk over parts of western Arkansas which
are already extremely saturated and vulnerable to flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Sunday

The pattern will remain very unsettled through the middle of the
week. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected
Tuesday and Wednesday, especially in northern and western sections
of the state.

Several inches of rain will be possible in the north and west, and
the main concern will be flash flooding. If this much rain
materializes, tributaries will be on the rise.

Overall, any severe storms will be spotty and not widespread and
organized. Storms that become severe will be capable of producing
damaging winds and hail.

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Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
249 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020

ARZ021-022-030>032-037>044-052> [login to see] 00-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FF.A.0010.200901T0000Z-200903T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson-Pope-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Dallas-
Including the cities of Russellville, Paris, Morrilton, Clarksville,
Danville, Mena, Perryville, Murfreesboro, Mount Ida, Norman,
Dardanelle, Glenwood, Hot Springs, Malvern, Arkadelphia, Bryant,
Sheridan, Fordyce, Benton, Booneville, Little Rock, Ola, Conway,
North Little Rock, and Waldron
249 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of central Arkansas...southwest
Arkansas and western Arkansas, including the following areas, in
central Arkansas, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Grant, Perry, Pope,
Pulaski, Saline and Yell. In southwest Arkansas, Clark, Dallas,
Hot Spring and Pike. In western Arkansas, Johnson, Logan,
Montgomery, Polk and Scott.

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday morning

* Several rounds of heavy rain are anticipated across much of
southwestern, western, and central Arkansas. Significant rainfall
from prior days has left soils nearly saturated, meaning the risk
for additional flash flooding will be high.

* Widespread flash flood will be possible across the watch area and
likely over areas that have already received significant rainfall in
the last 24 to 36 hours. This includes high-end, life threatening
flash flooding necessitating water rescues. Please heed all future
warnings!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to
Flash Flooding. Flash Flooding is a very dangerous situation. You
should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should
Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

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Tennessee MONDAY AUGUST 31ST 2020 METEOROLOGIST LARRY OLSON
Nashville International AirportTN OVERCAST 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT SOUTHWEST/ KBNA CLIMO 28-30 90/74 86/73 84/73 85 72 65% WINDS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY 3MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.85
Chattanooga Metro Airport, TN. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ MODERATE CUMULUS (RAINSHOWERS) NORTHEST THROUGH SOUTHEAST/ KCHA CLIMO 28-30 86/76 91/77 93/74 88 72 59% WINDS SOUTHERLY 8MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.88
Clarksville/Outlaw Fld Airport,TN MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT SOUTHEAST KCKV CLIMO 28-30 78/73 90/73 82/70 87 75 68% WINDS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY 10MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.82
Crossville Airport, TN. PARTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KCSV CLIMO 28-30 78/69 82/67 82/66 79 68 69% WINDS SOUTHWESTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.94
Memphis Intl Airport, TN. OVERCAST 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT NORTHEAST/ KMEM CLIMO 28-30 82/72 93/76 90/73 84 75 74% WINDS NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.82
Jacson/McKellar Reg Airport, TN. OVERCAST 7 MILES/ THUNDERSTORM VICINITY/ LIGHTNING DISTANT ALL DIRECTIONS/ KMKL CLIMO 28-30 77/74 89/72 86/72 83 77 82% WINDS SOUTHERLY 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.82
Smyrna Airport, TN. PARTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT SOUTH/ KMQY CLIMO 28-30 86/72 92/74 83/72 86 74 67% WINDS SOUTHWESTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.85
Millington Regional Airport, TN. PARTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KNQA CLIMO 28-30 83/72 93/74 90/73 82 77 84% WINDS WEST-NORTHWESTERLY 13MPH GUSTING 20MPH 29.82
Oak Ridge Airport, TN. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KOQT CLIMO 28-30 86/78 88/73 87/71 82 72 72% WINDS VARIABLE 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.91
Bristol/TriCities Reg. Airport, TN. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KTRI CLIMO 28-30 88/73 85/70 84/68 80 71 74% WINDS SOUTHERLY 3MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.93
Knoxville/Tyson Airport, TN. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KTYS CLIMO 28-30 90/79 86/72 87/70 84 73 70% WINDS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY 10MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.89

Kentucky
Middlesboro/Bell Cty Airport,KY. OVERCAST 7 MILES/ K1A6 CLIMO 28-30 85/75 85/71 82/68 82 71 70% WINDS SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.90
Bowling Green Airport, KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT WEST AND NORTHWEST/ RAIN BEGAN 1800/ENDED 1811/ PRECIP 00.00 IN/ KBWG CLIMO 28-30 83/73 87/73 83/73 86 74 67% WINDS WEST-NORTHWESTERLY 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.84
Covington Airport, KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KCVG CLIMO 28-30 82/72 86/71 81/58 78 68 71% WINDS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY 3MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.86
Henderson City Airport, KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KEHR CLIMO 28-30 80/72 88/71 87/66 83 73 72% WINDS CALM CALM GUSTING XXXXX 29.81
Frankfort/Capital City Airport,KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KFFT CLIMO 28-30 88/73 85/72 82/63 79 71 77% WINDS NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.85
Fort Knox/Godman Airport, KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ PRESSURE FALLING RAPIDLY (BAD WEATHER INDICATED/ KFTK CLIMO 28-30 82/72 83/71 87/64 81 73 79% WINDS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.84
Glasgow Municipal Airport, KY. FAIR 7 MILES/ KGLW CLIMO 28-30 83/73 87/73 83/73 85 73 67% WINDS WESTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.84
Fort Campbell AAF, Airport, KY. PARTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KHOP CLIMO 28-30 76/73 91/72 81/70 86 75 70% WINDS WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.81
Jackson/Carrol Airport, KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KJKL CLIMO 28-30 83/73 80/71 80/65 82 73 74% WINDS VARIABLE 3MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.88
Lexington/Bluegrass Airport, KY. PARTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT EAST/ KLEX CLIMO 28-30 88/71 83/70 80/61 XXXXX XXXXX XXXXX WINDS MISSING XXXXX GUSTING XXXXX 29.86
Louisville/Bowman Field Air, KY. MOSTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ KLOU CLIMO 28-30 87/74 87/73 81/63 96 72 46% WINDS WESTERLY 3MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.82
London-Corbin Airport, KY. OVERCAST 3/4 OF A MILE WITH HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS AND RAINSHOWERS/RAIN BEGAN 1859Z/THUNDER1928/PRECIP 00.27 IN/ KLOZ CLIMO 28-30 84/73 89/70 80/67 75 73 94% WINDS WESTERLY 13MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.89
Owensboro/Davis Cn Airport,KY FAIR 7 MILES/ KOWB CLIMO 28-30 83/73 88/72 78/69 82 74 77% WINDS CALM CALM GUSTING XXXXX 29.82
Paducah/Barkley Regl Airport, KY PARTLY CLOUDY 7 MILES/ LIGHTNING DISTANT WEST/ KPAH CLIMO 28-30 78/74 91/72 79/70 88 73 61% WINDS SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY 7MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.79
Louisville International Air. KY OVERCAST 7 MILES/ KSDF CLIMO 28-30 87/74 88/73 82/66 80 73 79% WINDS VARIABLE 5MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.84
Somerset/Lake Cumber Air. KY. OVERCAST 7 MILES/ KSME CLIMO 28-30 84/72 81/70 81/68 79 68 70% WINDS WESTERLY 6MPH GUSTING XXXXX 29.88