Posted on Jun 24, 2019
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be a bloody, logistical nightmare
2.09K
25
9
16
16
0
Posted >1 y ago
Responses: 4
More likely in the 50s than today. They'll take over Tiawan like they took over Hong Kong, economically.
(3)
(0)
LTC Trent Klug
If you mean by "economically", very few shots fired, then yes they did.
However had Britain not ceded it to them, then no, it would not have been economical.
However had Britain not ceded it to them, then no, it would not have been economical.
(1)
(0)
LTC Matthew Schlosser
Economically? Are you kidding? economics had ZILCH to do with anything. The UK's lease on the Kowloon Peninsula was about to run out and the island of Hong Kong itself was militarily indefensible without Kowloon, so the Brits made a bad deal with the ChiComms. It's a shame and a scandal that they didn't give the residents citizenship and the option to emigrate before the CCP inevitably broke every promise it make to the UK.
They're actually doing it demographically. More than 2/3 of the Taiwanese civil service is married to mainlanders, though it's a bit lower in the general population. The problem with that is that breeding Taiwan back into the fold isn't fast enough for the arbitrary deadline they've set themselves, and not meeting that deadline would be a serious blow to the legitimacy of the CCP. They might even lose the Mandate of Heaven (天命) over it. If Cacklin' Kammy had won, they'd probably have gone for the military option in 2027.
They're actually doing it demographically. More than 2/3 of the Taiwanese civil service is married to mainlanders, though it's a bit lower in the general population. The problem with that is that breeding Taiwan back into the fold isn't fast enough for the arbitrary deadline they've set themselves, and not meeting that deadline would be a serious blow to the legitimacy of the CCP. They might even lose the Mandate of Heaven (天命) over it. If Cacklin' Kammy had won, they'd probably have gone for the military option in 2027.
(0)
(0)
Is there a reason why we shouldn't approach the Philippines to reopen Subic Bay, Cubi Point, & Clark AFB. It seems reasonable in spite of the cost.
(2)
(0)
LTC Trent Klug
Two things. First, the political climate of the Phillipines government was very anti-US at the time. Second, the volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo buried Clark Air Base and damaged Subic Bay's infrastructure.
(0)
(0)
Read This Next

Taiwan
China
Communism
