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LTC Jason Mackay
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Edited 7 y ago
Erin Nelson Projecting that power without support vessels, stores, spares, supporting specialized vessels in the task group, would be highest of high adventure. The margin for failure would have to be very narrow for the Iranians to sign up for it. If they pull it off, it is a huge propaganda victory and a demonstration inside their spheres of influence. If they don't, and have ships laid up in ports between the Strait of Hormuz to the coast of Africa and Western Europe because they became engineering casualties, the become a laughing stock and lose face in their spheres of influence. I would receive it as a threat, that in the future, when their capability matures, this will be something they do.

"Iran's navy [10] consists of a handful of frigates and dozens of small missile boats, plus a few small diesel submarines including three Russian-built Kilo-class subs. It's a regional navy that poses some danger to ships operating in the Persian Gulf, but lacks the long-range vessels—and the equally vital resupply ships—to operate 6,000 miles away near the North American coast."

No T-AKO, T-AKE, T-AKR and the like to support the rag tag fugitive fleet. They also do not have a basing network. They may want to thumb through "The Influence of Sea Power" by Alfred Thayer Mahan.
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Erin Nelson
Erin Nelson
7 y
That is great information and comforting to know. Thank you LTC Jason Mackay
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LTC Jason Mackay
LTC Jason Mackay
7 y
Erin Nelson - they have some replenishment capability, but it looks like they have one oiler of consequence, the Kharg, which is a U.K. Ol Class ship that has hit 40 years of age. They have a handful of other cargo carriers, but they look like LSTs. Not exactly blue water UNREP.
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CW4 Guy Butler
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They’re allowed - little thing called “freedom of navigation”.

On the other hand, they aren’t exactly known to be a blue water navy; be interesting to see if they could actually make it across the Atlantic in one piece.
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Erin Nelson
Erin Nelson
7 y
Haha
They are threatening Warships but the photo looks more like an old Russian Sub
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SP5 Mark Kuzinski
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I know that they are crazy but are they that crazy? If so ----!
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Erin Nelson
Erin Nelson
7 y
What a great response, love the photographic symbolism SP5 Mark Kuzinski
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SP5 Mark Kuzinski
SP5 Mark Kuzinski
7 y
Erin Nelson - Thanks - I'm a man of few words as you can see. Have a great week Erin and keep the post coming - please tag me.
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Erin Nelson
Erin Nelson
7 y
:) I have learned in general, when one of few words determins topic worth speaking on, it is then worth listening. Have a great night and Thank you SP5 Mark Kuzinski
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