Responses: 4
It would appear that pulling our troops out may have been a wise decision. I, personally, am not a proponent of troops acting as tripwires. Syria is a nightmare.
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Bluster is what this is.
Iran is using the war in Syria as a pretext to push supplies to Hezbollah... which will in turn be used against Israel in the future. This is the price for getting Hezbollah to participate as foot Soldier proxies in a war that they have only tangential interest in.
Israel is very keen to see these supplies never reach their intended recipients, and routinely strikes them.
Iran, Syria, and Russia bellyache about this, but don't REALLY want to do anything militarily about it because all parties concerned know that Israel would take them to the woodshed.
Russia does not have the capability to take on Israel on these terms beyond defensively with anti-air systems; their bases are within easy reach of the Israelis, but Israeli basses are not in easy reach of the Russians. The Israelis are also quite capable of defeating AAA systems, although they have not encountered one as sophisticated as the S-300 or -400.
My take is Russia would like to be rid of this albatross around its neck, but can't quite bail out so long as Assad's survival as President of Syria is in question. They have tried to draw down several times, only to be forced to return. They will be there a while, and as long as they are, NATO and Ukraine can rest easier.
Iran, on the other hand has a strategic interest that remains unreached - a land supply route to Lebanon. This is their aim, and they will put considerable money and capital forward to attain it. This is what Israel is really trying to defeat.
Iran is using the war in Syria as a pretext to push supplies to Hezbollah... which will in turn be used against Israel in the future. This is the price for getting Hezbollah to participate as foot Soldier proxies in a war that they have only tangential interest in.
Israel is very keen to see these supplies never reach their intended recipients, and routinely strikes them.
Iran, Syria, and Russia bellyache about this, but don't REALLY want to do anything militarily about it because all parties concerned know that Israel would take them to the woodshed.
Russia does not have the capability to take on Israel on these terms beyond defensively with anti-air systems; their bases are within easy reach of the Israelis, but Israeli basses are not in easy reach of the Russians. The Israelis are also quite capable of defeating AAA systems, although they have not encountered one as sophisticated as the S-300 or -400.
My take is Russia would like to be rid of this albatross around its neck, but can't quite bail out so long as Assad's survival as President of Syria is in question. They have tried to draw down several times, only to be forced to return. They will be there a while, and as long as they are, NATO and Ukraine can rest easier.
Iran, on the other hand has a strategic interest that remains unreached - a land supply route to Lebanon. This is their aim, and they will put considerable money and capital forward to attain it. This is what Israel is really trying to defeat.
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