Posted on Oct 27, 2016
Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
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From his lips to God's ears. Now read the article before you post or you'll most likely embarrass yourself
Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
Posted from sbstatesman.comPosted in these groups: 
Election 2016
Election 2016
Posted 8 y ago
Responses: 4
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CPT Jack Durish The article is from February, so it was written well before Trump decided that every time he opens his mouth he will put his foot in it. Furthermore it takes into account none of the campaigning. The model only uses historical data to make a prediction. This election cycle the historical data is irrelevant. It has been filled with such vitriolic hatred of both candidates that over half the nation thinks they both suck. So while it is an interesting article and I may be proven wrong (wouldn't be first time, won't be the last), I don't think anything that any past models can be applied. Trump is proof of that. Trump in a normal election cycle would have as much chance as Charles Manson of winning a major party nomination. This is not a normal election cycle. November 8th is fast approaching. We have not too much longer until we see if not accounting for campaigning, polling, or suitability is a viable means of predicting an election.
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he may win but the Election will be stolen... and George Soros will see to that...
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CPT Jack Durish
Maybe. But a lot of people are beginning to look. I'm seeing videos that people are making in the voting booth when they select the (R) candidate and the machine places the (X) next to the (D) candidate. I'm seeing people posting stories of PO personnel dumping Trump ballots. It may just be that with enough people on the alert, the election thieves will be denied shadows to lurk within
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CPT Jack Durish
The claim is that his model only fails with the 1960 election that Kennedy won and there's ample evidence that Nixon had really won and could have contested the result successfully except that he refused to put the nation through that turmoil
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SSG Jessica Bautista
CPT Jack Durish - I was more wondering if he had applied the model for those years prior to the elections, and what he had predicted those years. Or if he just went back and used the model after the fact.
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