Posted on Aug 4, 2015
Sgt Aaron Kennedy, MS
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/prison-reform-risk-assessment/

This article passed my feed, and thought I would share.

I can see many aspects of this, but would love the community's opinion.

I believe we make similar "recommendations" for action under the UCMJ based on this concept, therefore the parallels exist.
Posted in these groups: Imgres LawOriginal Crime6262122778 997339a086 z Politics
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Responses: 13
SGT Jeremiah B.
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No. Essentially convicting someone for crimes they haven't committed is a rabbit hole I don't want to go down.

I am less averse to identifying people with dangerous mental illness and getting them appropriate care, but even that needs controls.
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SSG Gerhard S.
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In my opinion, NO. People should be judged on their actions and intent, and not on their thoughts, ("hate" crimes), or upon someone else's assessment, or prognostication if what could, or might happen in the future.
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SN Greg Wright
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The concept is asinine. What's next? Thought police?
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SN Victoria Glover
SN Victoria Glover
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I agree with you SN Greg Wright. That idea is asinine. You can't be positive about a person being a criminal before they become one. I once was taught not to ASSUME anything. Because if you assume you could make an ASS of yoU and ME. Just because there is a potential for something doesn't mean the person is going to do it.
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COL Ted Mc
COL Ted Mc
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SN Greg Wright - Seaman; You couldn't be more wrong.

The concept is NOT "asinine" the CONCEPT is a "Good Thing" (see my response to the Sergeant above).

Another "concept" that is a "Good Thing" would be to use perpetual motion powered generators that weigh only ten pounds but are capable of turning out 1,000,000,000 watts of electricity to power naval vessels. Use enough of them and you could water-ski behind aircraft carriers.

SN Victoria Glover - Seaman; When you say "Just because there is a potential for something doesn't mean the person is going to do it." you vitiate the entire concept behind the Department of Hype and Insecurity. OF COURSE they are going to do it otherwise there would be no potential for them to be doing it.

[APOLOGIES to all "Upper Management Level Security Planning Personnel" for revealing the second biggest trade secret - the first being "Threats to security WILL BE found.".]
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SN Greg Wright
SN Greg Wright
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COL Ted Mc - *Scratching my head*
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COL Ted Mc
COL Ted Mc
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SN Greg Wright - Seaman; As I said, the CONCEPT is not asinine.

Attempting to IMPLEMENT the CONCEPT simply because we don't have the proper tools to actually work out how the CONCEPT would apply to each INDIVIDUAL - even though we may be able to determine how the CONCEPT applies to a CLASS.

IF the CONCEPT could ever be refined so that it worked with INDIVIDUALS, then it would be a "Good Thing" in reality.

As it is it falls into the category "Things which are a 'Good Idea' but simply won't work - so don't do them".
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