I have not followed this real close, perhaps I should. From what I have seen, I think he is testing the US and the rest of the world to see how far they can be pushed. Just an uneducated opinion.
Sir,
I mostly aggree with your response sir, I would ask though, if a country such as our has the ability to help those less fortunate or less able wouldn't it be our responsibility to act? The USA would not exist today if we didn't get the support of a couple of european countries countries.
Sir,
I agree. However, I do see both a national and strategic interest in the Ukraine as a sovereign nation when under threat by Russia.
We have a stake in the Ukrainian economy through our exports which they receive. This mess has also led to a push for the increase of the export of LNG to support the Ukraine and neighboring countries should this become a protracted event. I can not find the exact figures, but the blockage of this trade could have a significant economic impact leading to surplus product on the markets which can affect prices as well as jobs.
A lack of action (either politically or militarily) could present a permissive stance on Russian military action. It does not mean that it holds true, but the perception could bolster support for Russian incursions and also bolster their nationalist agenda which may motivate them to act much more aggressively in the future. I am not saying this as a claim for military intervention, but the internation and national response does need to be much stronger than what it is now, in my opinion. Economic sanctions, international agreements, and other diplomatic tools should be utilized in order to show the same international resolve that has been shown in the past.
I also think that the second and third order effects could have a dramatic impact on the destabilization of the global good. This move, if not reacted to appropriately, could help Russian allies such as Syria and Iran. This would present them with a known partner who is flexing its military might against an international community. It would permit Al-Assad to maintain a strong position against the rebels since it would show that international resolve to challenge Russia is low, since he already feels as if Russia would support him militarily against any external threats. It would also give Rouhani the chance to continue his left hand-right hand rhetoric, knowing that economically, politically, and militarily he has a strong ally.
I am not advocating immediate military action. I also think that a show of force in any manner (positions an aircraft carrier, staging troops nearby, etc) could create the opportunity for an incident to spark something major, which is not the correct answer either. However, I do see a need to step up the diplomatic involvment of an internationa coalition very similar to what happened when Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990. That may be the appropriate model to follow on a protracted schedule.
There is a dimension to this issue that I don't believe is getting enough attention or scrutiny when it comes to "Should the US get involved in the events in Ukraine" that has to do with our credibility to our allies and the international community. Specifically the Budapest Memorandum. We agreed to respect the sovereignty and borders of Ukraine, in exchange for them giving up there 1000+ nuclear weapons. We agreed to "consult" with the other signatories of this agreement if Ukraine’s sovereignty was violated, or political military or economic pressure was leveraged against them to with the goal of manipulating their government and politics.
So I ask, how can any nation trust the spirit and letter of any agreement they go into with us, if it appears (as it does now) that we will not honor said agreement if it is deemed to inconvenient?
Is Japan wondering right now if we will honor our defense agreement with them, should China attack? Is South Korea going to have doubts about our commitment to them? What about smaller allies where we don't actually have troops deployed? Do you think our brand new set up governments in Iraq and Afgan are getting a little worried that we might leave them high and dry?
There has been a lot of talk about Obama's "weakness" to the international community, and it makes it sound like we are looking for him to be some kind of bully, or to "police the world", but it is much more complicated and frankly IMPORTANT than that.
His flip floppy, all words no action, hand waving and no commitment way of dealing with these international events is telling the world :"Do not trust the United States. They honor their commitments at their convience alone. A promise today is worth nothing tomorrow."
From "IHS Janes 360"
http://www.janes.com/article/48685/russian-tos-1-and-pantsyr-s1-systems-reported-in-east-ukraine?utm_campaign=[PMP]_PC5308_J360%206.2.15_KV_Deployment&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Eloqua
Russian TOS-1 and Pantsyr-S1 systems reported in east Ukraine
Anti-Kiev forces are deploying TOS-1 220 mm thermobaric multiple rocket launchers and possibly Pantsyr-S1 air-defence systems in the continuing conflict in east Ukraine, reports indicate.
In a statement on 4 February the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence (MoD) claimed its forces had destroyed a TOS-1 system during fighting on 3 February. This followed a claim on 14 January by the MoD that its forces had encountered the type for the first time during fighting on 13 January.
Unconfirmed media reports had previously suggested TOS-1s were being used in the assault on Donetsk airport, although the Ukrainian MoD made no such claim at the time. The TOS-1 is not known to have been pictured in east Ukraine, making the statements by the MoD hard to verify - although the Ukrainian MoD has been a broadly reliable source in the past.
However, pictures have emerged of a 96K6 Pantsyr-S1 (SA-22 'Greyhound') self-propelled anti-aircraft gun and missile (SPAAGM) system that is claimed to be operating in east Ukraine. The images are supposed to have been taken in late January in the vicinity of the towns of Shakhtarsk and Makiivka, just east of Donetsk, although this cannot be independently verified by IHS Jane's .
The TOS-1 is often referred to by Russia as a heavy ...
[EDITORIAL COMMENT:- Hmmmm?!? Keep the opposition air power away and level the opposition's defensive positions. I wonder if that indicates any possibility of an attack.]
Russian TOS-1 and Pantsyr-S1 systems reported in east Ukraine - IHS Jane's 360
Anti-Kiev forces are deploying TOS-1 220 mm thermobaric multiple rocket launchers and possibly Pantsyr-S1 air-defence systems in the continuing conflict in east Ukraine, reports indicate. In a statement on 4 February the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence (MoD) claimed its forces had destroyed a TOS-1
Granted, but it might save those 10th Mountain Brigades from deactivation...
And I hate the cold.... I would NOT relish those winters..
I think that the events in the Ukraine and Georgia are President Putin slowly assimilating and reestablishing of the USSR. This can be both a Good and Bad thing, in my opinion.
We will have to watch and see what the outcome is.

Ukraine
Russia
