Posted on Mar 16, 2015
The U.S. Just Removed Iran, Hezbollah From Its List of Terrorists. Is This Too Far To Go For A Nuke Deal?
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Why don't we just hand them the blue prints next? Or do we give them to North Korea first?
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A few thoughts:
- I thought the purpose of producing a terrorist threat list was more so to document who in the world is using violence to achieve their political purposes and less about who/what is a direct threat to the US. If direct threat to the US is the standard then I guess Boko Haram in Africa are not terrorists.
- Iran has been supporting terrorism since at least 1979. How else to explain Syria and Hezbollah since then?
- Placement on the US terrorism list is not just a list thing. It kicks in specific actions and limitations on the part of the US Government and its citizens. Likewise, taking a country or organization off the list opens up possibilities for the USG and its citizens.
-If the article is correct then the US is essentially turning a blind eye to Iran's terrorist activities in order to enable a nuclear deal that might not be worth the paper it is printed on. Does not sound like great negotiating skills or an understanding of the long game/bigger picture on the part of the USG.
- I thought the purpose of producing a terrorist threat list was more so to document who in the world is using violence to achieve their political purposes and less about who/what is a direct threat to the US. If direct threat to the US is the standard then I guess Boko Haram in Africa are not terrorists.
- Iran has been supporting terrorism since at least 1979. How else to explain Syria and Hezbollah since then?
- Placement on the US terrorism list is not just a list thing. It kicks in specific actions and limitations on the part of the US Government and its citizens. Likewise, taking a country or organization off the list opens up possibilities for the USG and its citizens.
-If the article is correct then the US is essentially turning a blind eye to Iran's terrorist activities in order to enable a nuclear deal that might not be worth the paper it is printed on. Does not sound like great negotiating skills or an understanding of the long game/bigger picture on the part of the USG.
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LTC Stephen Conway
Obama protected Hezbollah drug ring to save Iran nukes deal
The Obama administration stymied a sprawling investigation into the terror group Hezbollah — and its highly lucrative drug- trafficking networks — to protect the Iran nuclear deal, according to a b…
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As I write this, 80% of respondents (16/20) believe "the Administration has gone way too far; what can they be thinking?" There are two responses from MSG David Chappell and SFC (Join to see) which contain a link to a Newsweek article which purportedly proves that Iran and Hezbollah were, in fact, removed from the "list." MAJ Tristan M. recanted that the DOS list is meaningless, and I agree that de facto encouraging a black market is not ideal, but the United States do not have a trade relationship with Iran (something that DOS and Dept. of Commerce deal in), and Iran is still under the UN microscope. As far as I can tell, only one respondent here, other than me, SFC Miguel Lopez, disregards this discussion's headline.
"Hizballah" is still designated as a Foreign Terror Organization, and Iran is still designated as a State Sponsor of Terrorism. http://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/other/des/123085.htm; http://www.state.gov/j/ct/list/c14151.htm.
Retired Air Force LT GEN and incumbent Director of National Intelligence Jim Clapper signed his name to a report that omitted Iran and Hezbollah from a list of terrorist threats to the United States. The National Intelligence Estimate is an independently authored document required by Congress, and is used to advise the President and Congress. That independence can sometimes pull the rug from under presidents, just ask President Bush about the 2007 NIE that stated that Iran was "very unlikely" to have the means of producing nuclear weapons before 2009 and "judge[d] with high confidence that Iran will not be technically capable of producing and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about 2015." http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/international/20071203_release.pdf.
As I have said before in this discussion, Iran or Hezbollah could be removed from the State Sponsors of Terrorism list or the Foreign Terror Organizations list, respectively, but they have not been removed yet.
"Hizballah" is still designated as a Foreign Terror Organization, and Iran is still designated as a State Sponsor of Terrorism. http://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/other/des/123085.htm; http://www.state.gov/j/ct/list/c14151.htm.
Retired Air Force LT GEN and incumbent Director of National Intelligence Jim Clapper signed his name to a report that omitted Iran and Hezbollah from a list of terrorist threats to the United States. The National Intelligence Estimate is an independently authored document required by Congress, and is used to advise the President and Congress. That independence can sometimes pull the rug from under presidents, just ask President Bush about the 2007 NIE that stated that Iran was "very unlikely" to have the means of producing nuclear weapons before 2009 and "judge[d] with high confidence that Iran will not be technically capable of producing and reprocessing enough plutonium for a weapon before about 2015." http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/international/20071203_release.pdf.
As I have said before in this discussion, Iran or Hezbollah could be removed from the State Sponsors of Terrorism list or the Foreign Terror Organizations list, respectively, but they have not been removed yet.
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MAJ (Join to see)
LTC (Join to see), despite being the owner of said headline, and having taken leave of this post based upon our exchange of 19 days ago, you are correct; my headline is poorly phrased, and there is a quantum leap between being dropped from the Clapper Threat Assessment and formally being dropped from the list of nations and organizations recognized as either terrorists or state-sponsors of terrorists.
When I first posted this story, I had a fundamental misunderstanding of the function and purpose of the Clapper Threat Assessment; I believed it to have a more significant role in policy implementation than it actually has. In reality, publication of this document minus Iran and Hezbollah was likely little more than a negotiation ploy; intended to generate the minor media buzz that it did and for the sake of handing over a copy of the latest Clapper Report, sans Iran and their minion, as evidence of serious intent. So, with my flawed prior knowledge on the topic, I ran with the story and posted it. I backed off of it based on our exchange, as you have a decent track record of knowing your stuff. Since the story never materialized any further, I just let it go, until it reappeared again today.
So, you may add me to your list of those who for the time being, disregard this post's headline.
When I first posted this story, I had a fundamental misunderstanding of the function and purpose of the Clapper Threat Assessment; I believed it to have a more significant role in policy implementation than it actually has. In reality, publication of this document minus Iran and Hezbollah was likely little more than a negotiation ploy; intended to generate the minor media buzz that it did and for the sake of handing over a copy of the latest Clapper Report, sans Iran and their minion, as evidence of serious intent. So, with my flawed prior knowledge on the topic, I ran with the story and posted it. I backed off of it based on our exchange, as you have a decent track record of knowing your stuff. Since the story never materialized any further, I just let it go, until it reappeared again today.
So, you may add me to your list of those who for the time being, disregard this post's headline.
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LTC (Join to see)
MAJ (Join to see), thank you for saying so. I hope we keep both of them on the list indefinitely. The nuclear deal, however, may shift politics faster than reality. That would be a bad day for the U.S. and for power checks in the Muslim-Arab world.
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Regardless of the source listed a quick search shows the facts are true http://www.newsweek.com/iran-and-hezbollah-omitted-us-terror-threat-list-amid-nuclear-talks-314073
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GySgt Wayne A. Ekblad
Nothing but political expedience. After all, we can't let a little thing like Iran's history of terrorism stand in the way of brokering a deal that might somehow secure Obama's legacy, can we? So let's just forget about the Iran Hostage Crisis, the 4/18/1983 attack on our Embassy in Beirut, the 10/23/1983 attack on our Marines in Beirut, etc.
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LTC (Join to see)
Copied from my earlier response to someone who posted the same link:
Straight from the link you provided: "The [Clapper] report fails to mention that Hezbollah is labelled as a terrorist organisation by both the U.S. and the European Union."
It appears that the "facts" are not actual facts.
Straight from the link you provided: "The [Clapper] report fails to mention that Hezbollah is labelled as a terrorist organisation by both the U.S. and the European Union."
It appears that the "facts" are not actual facts.
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GySgt Wayne A. Ekblad
Obama, Clinton, Kerry and how Iran shapes legacies and political futures
Clinton must wait to see whether a final deal is reached and then either live with the details or voice dissent.
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Iran...sort of. While they still sponsor terrorist groups, at least trying to see some sort of legitimacy in the government and country is a start. I wouldn't give them an inch of leeway though. Treat the government there like how you would treat any alcoholic. Lock up the beers, don't wave and tease them with drinks. But for the purposes of having something other than military options, its better than nothing.
Hezbollah though is widely known to be a proxy of the Ayatollahs and they have never been up to any good in that region. Removing them from the Terrorist watch list is an epic disaster. Hindsight is always 20/20 and its always easier to be an armchair General. But, to take an example, we gave the German people a legitimacy as a country, but to give the Nazi Party and the other thugs running around Germany any sort of leniency is a bad idea.
If this is giving Iran some breather that we see them as worthwhile people to court and get along with, I'm all for it. But to give Hezbollah any sort of room is just totally missing the target. And furthermore, while I'm all for building trust and ties with Iran (as a country), their government is so corrupt and dysfunctional, that you might as well be trying to bargain with clowns. This is a monumental disaster waiting to happen, and it will be the American Soldier to pay the price.
Hezbollah though is widely known to be a proxy of the Ayatollahs and they have never been up to any good in that region. Removing them from the Terrorist watch list is an epic disaster. Hindsight is always 20/20 and its always easier to be an armchair General. But, to take an example, we gave the German people a legitimacy as a country, but to give the Nazi Party and the other thugs running around Germany any sort of leniency is a bad idea.
If this is giving Iran some breather that we see them as worthwhile people to court and get along with, I'm all for it. But to give Hezbollah any sort of room is just totally missing the target. And furthermore, while I'm all for building trust and ties with Iran (as a country), their government is so corrupt and dysfunctional, that you might as well be trying to bargain with clowns. This is a monumental disaster waiting to happen, and it will be the American Soldier to pay the price.
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I have come to the conclusion that this President will do "whatever it takes" to secure a deal with Iran ... whether it is in our country's best interest or not.
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If this is true, then this is another attack waiting to happen, they are putting our guard down. History will repeat itself if we don't learn from it.
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In view of the recent State Department report that said Iran is still a state sponsor of terrorism, how the hell can the Administration 'remove' it from the list? Total frickin' nonsense ...
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GySgt Wayne A. Ekblad
According to the State Department's report:
“In 2014, Iran’s state sponsorship of terrorism worldwide remained undiminished through the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force, its Ministry of Intelligence and Security, and Tehran’s ally Hizballah, which remained a significant threat to the stability of Lebanon and the broader region”
http://abcnews.go.com/International/state-terror-report-fatalities-attacks-spiked-81-percent/story?id=31888869
“In 2014, Iran’s state sponsorship of terrorism worldwide remained undiminished through the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force, its Ministry of Intelligence and Security, and Tehran’s ally Hizballah, which remained a significant threat to the stability of Lebanon and the broader region”
http://abcnews.go.com/International/state-terror-report-fatalities-attacks-spiked-81-percent/story?id=31888869
Terror Report: Attack Fatalities Have Spiked 81 Percent
The number of terrorist attacks worldwide spiked by 81 percent in 2014, according to a new State Department report.
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PO1 Michael Fullmer
It is ABSOLUTELY to far to go. Iran has already proven it can not be trusted. When will this administration realize they've been had...when a nuke goes off over Tel-Aviv?
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You do not remove a terrorist from the list who has been known to threaten the US. Our government is out of their mind.
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The U.S. did not remove them from the DoS's list, which represents U.S. policy. The intelligence community merely reported on them in a more favorable manner than in previous annual reports. This article is a little more thorough: http://www.newsweek.com/iran-and-hezbollah-omitted-us-terror-threat-list-amid-nuclear-talks-314073 Furthermore, the reports I read on the deal specifically stated that certain sanctions were remaining in place because they were emplaced as a result of Iran's terror sponsorship.
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