Posted on May 11, 2015
CH (MAJ) William Beaver
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When I was in high school the big scare was the Soviet Union. After the USSR crumbled the big threat my friends and I talked about was China. Now in 2015, have trade agreements decreased the chances of any imminent attack from China? Has that trade become strained lately? Is the threat actually more real than it was 25 years ago? Or do we have a sort of 'second cousin' relationship with China right now. How much of an ally are they with us? Or are they truly an ally at all?
Posted in these groups: China ChinaC842160b Foreign Policy0cb6d45e Communism
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Responses: 11
CSM Brigade Operations (S3) Sergeant Major
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About as likely as the zombie apocalypse.
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SGT Richard H.
SGT Richard H.
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OH MY GOD!! SO IT'S HAPPENING THEN???
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LTC Paul Labrador
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China has too much invested into the US to get into an open military conflict.
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Col Squadron Commander
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Not likely. I compare it to the cold war with Russia. It's all about posturing.
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What is the likelihood of a near future attack from China?
Capt Richard I P.
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Edited >1 y ago
Attack on U.S. American soil by Chinese-controlled non-deniable actors? .0001% in the next 10 years.
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SSgt Geospatial Intelligence
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I'm thinking they'd send in a South American contingent before actually sending in Chinese troops. They have been getting pretty cozy w/ countries down there.
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Capt Richard I P.
Capt Richard I P.
>1 y
Strategic advantage
Eh, they might fund some religious terrorists or hack some businesses or some other deniable op. Boots on ground against the United States is virtually impossible for at least 10 years.
https://www.rallypoint.com/answers/we-re-number-1-but-why
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Sgt Mark Ramos
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What about military action against allies that we are bound to defend, like Japan or the Philippines? How far do they need to go to consider it an attack? The answer to your question is 100%. 100% chance of an attack against US interests. Just like with the USSR and now Russia. We will be engaged in proxy wars and under the radar conflicts over control of influence and resources for the rest of my life. If you refer to an invasion of the USA by China, then my answer is very unlikely; just like the USSR and now Russia.
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SrA Edward Vong
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Not likely, it's just going to be a demonstration of power for all eternity unless we all settle our difference and work together.

Superpowers clashing would cause the end of the world.
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SrA Edward Vong
SrA Edward Vong
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Other than war on terrorism, which would probably keep happening, the current war is all economics.
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SSgt Geospatial Intelligence
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It's the new cold war.
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PFC Tuan Trang
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Is 50/50, Depending the sistuation, If we talk bad about them, Threating, or trying to help other countries because china is messing with them. Then it more likely then attack.
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SGT Bryon Sergent
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Once the EMP from Iran takes out or electronics, then china comes in. They have the troops to loose and still take over the country.
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SSgt Geospatial Intelligence
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I don't think a physical attack is likely. If they wanted, they could destroy us by crashing our economy with the amount of our debt that they own. They wouldn't need to waste the resources. They could just change the world currency from the dollar to the Yuan or, practically, ANYTHING else & destroy us as we now know ourselves.
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LTC Paul Labrador
LTC Paul Labrador
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If China crashes our economy, theirs does down along with it.
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SSgt Geospatial Intelligence
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Agreed. It would be a suicide move. Last ditch effort kind of thing. I think the thing that plays in the back of my mind is: what are China & Russia scheming together?
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MSG Operations Sergeant
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While there are a few hot spots to be sure (the Spratly Islands, Taiwan, access through the Straits of Malacca), China's navy just isn't big enough to challenge us for the Pacific Pond. They will probaly be content to trade and get a free ride off of our Navy for protection through areas throughout the Pacific and Indian Oceans. We are a great Sea and Air power and probably won't get into land wars for a while. As China's Navy and Air Force grow, we should incorporate them into security plans for the globalization of trade and disaster relief efforts instead of footing the entire bill ourselves. There can and should be cooperation between our two nations as our appetite for being the world police declines and their appetite to leverage more of their citizens into the middle class increases.
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