Posted on Sep 19, 2017
What will we be saying about North Korea in 2021? Will we have a city destroyed (as Kim says) or will NK be changed?
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I think we should think about what the future AAR or review will look like in the future. Maybe by thinking now, we can predict or understand our problems?
Posted in these groups: 
North Korea
Korea
South Korea
Intelligence
Geopolitics / International Relations
North Korea Korea South Korea Intelligence Geopolitics / International Relations
Posted >1 y ago
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I agree with SPC Philip Reichert. The current Political TTP is to kick the can down the road. // Now, I would watch Hong Kong. We all know the current players, South Korea, Japan. Now lets watch and see what overtures the US provides to HK. There is some unrest there and maybe it could become a wedge issue to exploit. China is playing their political cards very well and I think Mr. Trump having just sat down at table is ready to play some interesting hands.
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SPC (Join to see)
Honestly, we have a relatively sure idea of how nK will act. They will prioritize the survival of the regime. The unknown or wild card is how the U.S. administration or other powerful international players (ROK, Japan, China, Russia, etc) will act. HK could certainly become a hot issue in East Asia
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LTC (Join to see)
SPC (Join to see) - BlackJack 02, I'd say we are currently in the opening phase of war with China, via NK. We are in the rhetoric stage now. Very little economic pressure is being exerted but by media accounts one would think NK has no trade partners. I think we will see additional economic sanctions on NK and possibly China. Gasp- we could even see some overtures to Russia to assist the US. I say we will not go to kinetic war with either country. We will wage 5th level war at them. Everyone thinks China has the US over a barrel since they own our debt. They own only 1 Trillion of it. We could shut down their access to our ports and maybe some Allies and then what? I still think Mr. Trump has several hands to play out. It depends who wants to be at the table with us when the game is over. Lets not for the democrats in this scenario. Whatever Mr. Trump wins will be portrayed as a lost hand. So, we need to watch the "loyal" opposition as well.
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Honestly, I expect the situation on the Korean Peninsula to be almost exactly the same in four years. There would have to be a powerful catalyst to force international pressure to truly come down on nK (Successful ICBM test? An incident such as the USS Pueblo?) Without a comprehensive plan and overwhelming international support, it is not likely that the U.S. or ROK deviates from the norm.
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SSgt GG-15 RET Jim Lint
See my article. I know you are active duty, and I am retired. I did 7 years there , and hope you are correct. http://inhomelandsecurity.com/will-say-north-korea-situation-2021/
What Will We Be Saying About North Korea in 2021?
Will we look back in 2021 at Kim’s statements over the years and wonder why no one foresaw the loss of an American city to North Korea’s nuclear weapons?
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SPC (Join to see)
Your idea is sound, and I do not dispute that nK military action against the U.S. (mainly nuclear) is possible. I hope we never see the day
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Capt Seid Waddell
SPC (Join to see), SSgt GG-15 RET Jim Lint, I expect to see a preemptive strike on North Korea before that happens.
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Hopefully we'll be saying "Remember that KJU guy? What an idiot. This new guy is way better!"
All the rhetoric and saber-rattling aside, there is no need to go to war with anyone right now. If he attacks us, sure, then we go. But let politics and economics be what they are. Sometimes they're good, sometimes bad, and sometimes a mix of both. But there is absolutely no need to shed American blood over there at this point.
All the rhetoric and saber-rattling aside, there is no need to go to war with anyone right now. If he attacks us, sure, then we go. But let politics and economics be what they are. Sometimes they're good, sometimes bad, and sometimes a mix of both. But there is absolutely no need to shed American blood over there at this point.
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