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SGT Unit Supply Specialist
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PO1 William "Chip" Nagel
..."What Next For The Cursed Isle?
Russia appears determined to keep the island, even at a high cost of troops and equipment. It’s location is strategic. It can provide surveillance, and it prevents Ukraine from benefiting in the same way. And may be important in any peace agreements or end-game territory grabs. And also its defense could become symbolic, in the same way as the Ukrainian hold-out in Mariupol.

It has yet to be seen whether Ukraine will attempt to retake the island. Emotionally there may be a strong motivation to do so. And it could make political and strategic sense.

But if it does the situation could be reversed with Russia free to take pot shots at the Ukrainian garrison. The island is essentially indefensible without effective area air defense. And right now neither side looks like it could achieve that. "
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CPT Consultant
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CDR Andrew McMenamin, PhD
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Good report.
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