Why Taiwan is NOT Ukraine

Hopefully it won't. If it did, it would be very ugly for both sides.

Watch the actual clip. It would be hard for China to go big and fast due to the factors already mentioned (weather, terrain, troop capacity, etc.). As an example, the Mongols under Genghis Khan invaded Japan twice, but failed both times in the 1200s.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mongol_invasions_of_Japan

LTC Eugene Chu - Let's not use the Mongols invasions of the 1200's as our simulated or theoretical analysis aggressor. China has current technology advancements in the way of Military Power projection and sheer personnel numbers on their side. They (Taiwan) are only 200nm from the Chinese mainland making Chinese Air Support, Missile Batteries and Tactics a short hop for Bejing, along with China's ability to surround the Island with Naval ships. I'm not a Military Tactician, but I do find it hard to believe that China does not have the capability to absolutely wreck Taiwan fairly quickly without resorting to nukes, unless the Chinese Militaries are enjoying an actual "paper tiger" status, kinda like Russia is showing in Ukraine. And, like Russia, if China throws out the "nuclear response" that Russia has stated to the West, US and Nato about ground involvement in Ukraine, what exactly could we do to help Taiwan stave off China without putting US Forces on the ground, in the air and at sea into an active war theater? I'd rather hear your opinion on today's "China vs Taiwan" rather than again read a historical accurate account of Mongol invasions back in the 1200's. The video makes interesting points, but again, with the threat of China possibly going nuclear always hanging over the heads of the West is a factor that cannot be ignored.

PO1 John Johnson - You still ignore other characteristics that complicate an invasion. The South China Sea area is prone to rough sailing conditions during certain months, bad weather like seasonal typhoons, and limited places for landings. China regularly flies harassment sorties near Taiwan and the aircraft get detected with Taiwanese interception fairly quickly. China is also maintaining COVID lockdowns in major cities which requires military intervention. Its last major conflict was 1979 Sino-Vietnamese war which resulted in high casualties despite pre-planned withdrawal. China is reluctant to use nukes against Taiwan since it wants to take the archipelago intact for exploitation.

Large scale invasions look easy on paper, but actual planning and logistics are very complicated in real life.