Posted on Nov 11, 2023
Drought that has hammered Syria, Iraq and Iran was exacerbated by climate change
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Scientists with the World Weather Attribution group found that extreme temperatures dramatically increased the likelihood of the drought that has fueled a humanitarian crisis.
The drought conditions that have roiled Syria, Iraq and Iran over the past three years would not have happened without climate change, a new analysis suggests.
Scientists with the World Weather Attribution group analyzed three years of temperature and precipitation data and found that climate change contributed to extreme temperatures, which in turn made drought at least 25 times more likely in parts of Syria and Iraq, and over 16 times more likely in Iran.
The study shows how climate change is playing a role in one of the world’s worst humanitarian disasters, combining with political chaos and conflict to push people into hunger and forcing many to flee their homes.
The drought conditions that have roiled Syria, Iraq and Iran over the past three years would not have happened without climate change, a new analysis suggests.
Scientists with the World Weather Attribution group analyzed three years of temperature and precipitation data and found that climate change contributed to extreme temperatures, which in turn made drought at least 25 times more likely in parts of Syria and Iraq, and over 16 times more likely in Iran.
The study shows how climate change is playing a role in one of the world’s worst humanitarian disasters, combining with political chaos and conflict to push people into hunger and forcing many to flee their homes.
Drought that has hammered Syria, Iraq and Iran was exacerbated by climate change
Posted from nbcnews.com
Science
Climate Change
Water
Syria
Iraq
Posted 7 mo ago
Responses: 1
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PO1 William "Chip" Nagel
..."Because of global warming, droughts as extreme as this one can be expected once a decade in Iraq and Syria and twice a decade in Iran, the study found.
“This is already touching the limits of what some people are able to adapt to. As long as we keep burning fossil fuels or give out new licenses to explore new oil or gas fields, these events will only get worse,” said Friederike Otto, a climate scientist with the Grantham Institute at the Imperial College in London.
The World Weather Attribution group is a loose consortium of climate scientists who study extreme weather and publish rapid findings about climate change’s role in major events. Their research methods are published and peer-reviewed, but this specific analysis has not been subjected to a typical academic review process. The group’s previous findings have held up to outside scrutiny after initial publication."
..."Because of global warming, droughts as extreme as this one can be expected once a decade in Iraq and Syria and twice a decade in Iran, the study found.
“This is already touching the limits of what some people are able to adapt to. As long as we keep burning fossil fuels or give out new licenses to explore new oil or gas fields, these events will only get worse,” said Friederike Otto, a climate scientist with the Grantham Institute at the Imperial College in London.
The World Weather Attribution group is a loose consortium of climate scientists who study extreme weather and publish rapid findings about climate change’s role in major events. Their research methods are published and peer-reviewed, but this specific analysis has not been subjected to a typical academic review process. The group’s previous findings have held up to outside scrutiny after initial publication."
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