Exclusive: The conventions over, Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by a narrower 50%-43% in USA...

Oh, I believe there are a lot of people out there pearl clutching when they hear Trump's latest racist nonsense but when they get into the privacy of the voting booth, they are going to vote for him (again) anyway. I wouldn't be at all complacent in this.

I am going to guess that it will be closer than many people think.

I wouldn't expect a clear winner on Election Day, but don't hold me to it. People are confused now, and many remain undecided. Ideally, the half that don't vote will try it for a change. There are still a few rabbits that will be turned loose over the next two months.