Posted on Nov 6, 2017
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It appears we are approaching a very dangerous intersection. Let us hope that saner heads prevail.
"Israel has gained some tactical victories in the neighborhood (i.e. over the Palestinians generally, and in weakening Hamas), but it has lost sight of the wider strategic picture. In effect, Israel has lost its ability to dominate the region. It had wanted a weakened and fragmented Syria; it had wanted a Hezbollah mired in the Syrian mud, and an Iran circumscribed by Sunni sectarian antipathy towards the Shi’a generally. It is unlikely to get any of these.
Rather, Israel finds itself being deterred (rather than doing the deterring) by the knowledge that it cannot now overturn its strategic weakness (i.e. risk a three-front war) – unless, and only if, America will fully enter into any conflict, in support of Israel."
"Israel has gained some tactical victories in the neighborhood (i.e. over the Palestinians generally, and in weakening Hamas), but it has lost sight of the wider strategic picture. In effect, Israel has lost its ability to dominate the region. It had wanted a weakened and fragmented Syria; it had wanted a Hezbollah mired in the Syrian mud, and an Iran circumscribed by Sunni sectarian antipathy towards the Shi’a generally. It is unlikely to get any of these.
Rather, Israel finds itself being deterred (rather than doing the deterring) by the knowledge that it cannot now overturn its strategic weakness (i.e. risk a three-front war) – unless, and only if, America will fully enter into any conflict, in support of Israel."
Israeli-Saudi Tandem Adjusts to Syria Loss - LewRockwell LewRockwell.com
Posted from lewrockwell.com
Saudi Arabia
Israel
Russia
Turkey
Posted 7 y ago
Responses: 2
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SSG Diane- Where is China in your analysis? Are they a factor with Saudi Arabia? I think everyone is getting played by China and they will be the big winners of controlling the Middle East.
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SSG Diane R.
The Chinese are in it for the long haul, and their game plan extends for a century or more. It's important to read and understand the implications of Li's 30 point plan. I think they feel that war is disruptive to Eurasian integration, thus the only strategy the US can follow is war. We are boxed in.
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SSG Diane R.
In reality, it's more complex. The Russians are hosting a peace conference November 18th which is expected to see a thousand delegates in attendance. One of the points Russia is promoting is a Syrian election and Constitutional convention. The us could play a role in is if it would stop supporting terrorists.
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