Posted on Nov 14, 2014
1SG Steven Stankovich
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I read this article this evening and thought that I would share. While I know that we can make numbers say anything that we want to validate a position or to quantify a course of action, the article is interesting. Is there a conspiracy to send prior enlisted home to save a few dollars on the other end? I would hope not. Take a read and share your thoughts.

http://www.military.com/daily-news/2014/11/14/report-army-officer-cuts-disproportionately-hit-prior-enlisted.html?ESRC=todayinmil.sm
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SFC Mark Merino
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Edited >1 y ago
Not the Mustangs! Dedicated leaders who had to crawl through the trenches and up the cliff to get to their commission. Nothing but love and respect for all of them. In today's ultra PC till death approach to.....everything, I look at this fact as coincidental. If Officers are going to be reduced, they go for ones with less promotion potential. If a Mustang has many more years in then someone else, they must figure that less time left means less chances to climb the ranks. If it is something more sinister, I will be one of the first to hold a picket sign and join the cause. Great topic for discussion, by the way.
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1SG Steven Stankovich
1SG Steven Stankovich
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I also hope that it is just a coincidence. Like I said, one can make numbers "mean" anything depending on the agenda. It does make you think though...
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SFC Mark Merino
SFC Mark Merino
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1SG Steven Stankovich you are 100% correct. If you are dead set on an agenda, "numbers don't lie"...lol. IE: Marriage is the leading cause of divorce. I have the numbers to prove it.
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MAJ Deputy Director, Combat Casualty Care Research Program
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We (71Bs) got hammered on the MAJ promotion boards last week. 50% promotion rate, down from almost 100% last year and over recent years. I was shocked to see that much of a reduction when you consider it's all soldiers with PhDs.
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LTC Paul Heinlein
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Here are my thoughts...

1. It is highly likely.
2. The cuts in numbers are normally by year group and based on a population they are trying to get to by year group and what the Army end Strenth is going to be.
3. Right now, what I know of, the year groups that are getting hit hard are the ones the came up during the hardest years of the wars 2005-2009 time frame.
4. During this time frame almost everyone was getting promoted because they had to fill billets.
5. OCS requirements were dropped.
6. Green to Gold and OCS direct selections were being given to Div CDRs to pick soldiers with little to no other screening....we still had trouble finding enough Soldiers that wanted to get their commissions...bottom line: if you said yes, they were sent.I had a great NCO that had a DWI in his background during this time, I told him he would not get selected because of it, but when sent his packet forward and he still make the cut for OCS (pretty much unheard of prior to GWOT).

So, when they make these cuts, if they are reviewing files that included prior enlisted time, anyone who made the cut during these times, that would not have made it in years where there was much more scrutiny are probably being given the "pink slip" because in the big Army it is a numbers game and they have to get to that number no matter what, and if you have any type of negative discriminator in your file then you are going to get selected.
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1SG Steven Stankovich
1SG Steven Stankovich
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Thanks for the insight LTC Paul Heinlein. I appreciate the input to the discussion.
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Army Officer cuts Disproportionally Affect Prior Enlisted?
MAJ FAO - Europe
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LTC (Join to see) I think this article--and the range of already published and soon to be published related articles about OSB results--is a big deal because it addresses evident disparity in rates of selection for involuntary separation based on demographics; that the only reason we know anything about OSB demographics is that a powerpoint leaked from HRC showing some of the demographic information; and that the Army simply has not done a very good job messaging force reduction. In essence, this comes down to one word: transparency. The Army was not transparent with the 2014 OSB, or the 2014 OSB results.

Does the Army need to be transparent with processes regarding force shaping or force reduction? I doubt there's a statutory requirement for the Army to be transparent. However, for the health of the organization, transparency can only be positive.

I do appreciate your closing question of "Or how about 5 of 5 captains selected to be cut were all officers, regardless of their background, that did not meet the requirements for the Army to continue service?" This highlights the plot of 1,701 Army officers told they would be involuntarily separated from the Army based on the OSB. However, what I think articles (like the one you posted) question is if these officers were separated simply because "they did not meet the requirements for the Army to continue service," or if other factors played a role (ie, memo of instruction to OSB board members).

The one question I've put forward on numerous occasions that would seem to help address this issue is: How many officers in the target OSB population that had "bad paper" or "derogatory information" or etc did not get selected, and how many officers without such "bad stuff" in their records did?

At any rate, thanks for posting--OSB is, unfortunately, a process that is with us for 2015 as well, so these conversations are likely to continue.
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LTC Field Artillery Officer
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Jeff...thanks for your comments. I would like to think that all of the Army Officers selected for the OSB was because they had "bad paper / derogatory information" and no other reason. If it was a financial reason, then we missed the ball as an Army. I guess my biggest confusion was why "almost" 1 in 5 (20%) is a disproportionate amount? Unfortunately, some of those who were selected feel "butt hurt" about why they were selected and now we have articles such as this one. You are right as well about 2015 and more to come.
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MAJ FAO - Europe
MAJ (Join to see)
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LTC (Join to see) Brian-- I'd like to trust the Army on this one, too---from the comments I've seen from a lot of the captains OSB'd suggest bad paper wasn't the only consideration......(noting I haven't seen many comments from majors being OSB'd)
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CPT Robert Skinner
CPT Robert Skinner
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Maj Oberg,

What I don't understand is that when I applied for OCS I signed a 4187 stating that the Army could retire me at the highest enlisted grade if at 20 years I didn't have the required 10 years of commissioned service.

Bad paper didn't select a couple officers I know, I saw their records yet didn't get selected for Major. It is the times it happened in the 90s and will continue to happen after every war.

I think your words "butt hurt" is rather callous, but I understand given your combat arms branch. Peoples service is nothing less than yours, and if you were not chosen, I'm sure you would question the reasoning behind it. I'm not offended by your words just don't get why you would say it.

GEN Odierno stated clearly that good officers would be selected to retire or put out. Say a Major with 15 years is told he can't continue, yet isn't allowed to continue in the NG/Reserve. I think Officers in the field shouldn't take such a callous attitude when it deals with peoples lives. Butt hurt, seems to be an appropriate reaction to their circumstances.

1 in 5 20% as you stated isn't a big number, but a board of 4000 officers would net you 800 soldiers not selected. That is a battalion. I see where you're going with your statement, but if prior enlisted were selected ahead of West Pointers, it wouldn't surprise me, that would be the norm, the Army gets a mission, they will make it happen.
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MAJ FAO - Europe
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Thanks for posting....
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LTC Field Artillery Officer
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MSG Stankovich....I wrote and posted about this too. Here are my thoughts...

1) How is 1 in 5 disproportionate? Why wasn't it 4 in 5 cut were not prior service? I understand the concern about those affected having to retired at their highest enlisted grade if they didn't reach the 10 years of commissioned service, but I didn't see (any might have over looked it) it talking about those who were cut not reaching retirement at all. There was one mention of a captain with 22 years, prior service, being cut and she was claiming that she might have to file bankruptcy, my question would be....what is she doing to live outside her means that would cause this and in those 22 years, what else has she done to prepare for retirement?

2) What did these captains to do be cut by the Army. Most would have had to have something in their file that set them apart from the rest to be cut? It is unfortunately, but if we are required to reduce our force levels, there had to be a mark on the wall.

Just my two cents here.
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1SG Steven Stankovich
1SG Steven Stankovich
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Thank you for the feedback sir. Apologies on the duplicate discussion. I am sure that the selection process for who goes and who stays is as transparent as possible and I am also sure, much like the QMP process enlisted folks, that due diligence and selection criteria is scrutinized and adhered to. The article itself just caught me eye and thought it would bring about a hearty discussion. Thanks again for your thoughts.
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MAJ FAO - Europe
MAJ (Join to see)
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But prior enlisted being selected for involuntary separation at three times the rate of West Point grads does seem to be a disparity, no? Coincidence, perhaps. We'd need to see the memo of instruction to the OSB members to know for sure; in a related post, I calculated that the Army made something like $267,459,667 extra savings, not adjusted by inflation or including other benefits, by retiring these prior enlisted at their enlisted, not officer rank. That is substantial savings, for free, for the Army. It does make one wonder.....
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1SG Steven Stankovich
1SG Steven Stankovich
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I absolutely concur sir. Without seeing the Board MOI one can come to whatever conclusion they would like. And you bring up another great point, we, the Army, do run as far as the almighty dollar can take us...
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CPT Robert Skinner
CPT Robert Skinner
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MAJ Jeff Jager,

Thank you for laying it like that, and I'm not buying it that it was a coincidence. It would be nice to find out, but the Army will be the Army and take the necessary steps to get the mission completed and get the Army within the end strength.
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1SG Vet Technician
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As a rough estimate, I would guess that junior Field Grade officers with prior service are probably at around 13-15 years; those without prior grade 11-12 years. I don't know if Majors are among the highest numbers of cuts, but I could understand how ones closer to retirement might be "culled" from the herd, regardless of how important their experiences are to service.
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MAJ FAO - Europe
MAJ (Join to see)
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Promotion to major generally happens around the 9 year point; junior field grade would be around 9-11 years of service. So you're close on the years of service estimate.

The article seems to suggest that most prior enlisted made the transition to officer as E-5s. I'm not sure what the average time-in-service to E-5 is (having seen some folks take a very long time to make E-5, and some get promoted to E-5 essentially just out of basic and AIT). 1151 captains were cut, only 550 majors.
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SGM Senior Adviser, National Communications
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MSG Stankovich, this seems to have always been true. There are likely some valid reasons, and I for one have also seen some built-in bias by less than stellar superiors--but also some amazing enlightened ones who try to inject more sense. DOR/DOS and source of commission do play a role in when one is considered, as do OERS, education, etc.
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