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LTC Kevin B.
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In these days of hyperpartisanship, I think the peak for anyone is probably just over 50%, regardless of who is President. It may temporarily go above that (military conflict, natural disaster, etc.), but in the longer term, it will revert back.
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SPC Kevin Ford
SPC Kevin Ford
>1 y
That's a great point. I had just looked this up and it looks like the last POTUS to have what I'd call good midterm approval numbers was GWB in 2002 (shortly after 9/11), so 20 years ago.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/923792/job-approval-ratings-us-presidents-midterm-elections/

To be honest, now that Biden has some legislative wins and with gas prices coming down I think we are left with the normal midterm slump for the party of the president vs the fallout of the overturning of Roe v Wade. The overturning of RvW is going to be hard to anticipate because it deals with potential new voters and voter enthusiasm.
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LTC Kevin B.
LTC Kevin B.
>1 y
SPC Kevin Ford - I think the RvW decision is a net loss for conservatives, but not by very much. And, they can overcome it if they can motivate their base and suppress opposition voting. We'll see how it plays out.
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PO1 William "Chip" Nagel
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SPC Kevin Ford Time Will Tell!
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SPC David S.
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While his numbers are up 75% percent of Americans feel that the US is headed in the wrong direction and I feel that is the real metric that will matter.

Obama's August 2010 pre-midterm rating matches Biden's current 44%. The 2010 midterms resulted in 63 seats getting flipped.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11132663/Nearly-3-4-Americans-think-headed-WRONG-direction-Biden.html
https://news.gallup.com/poll/398117/biden-job-rating-rises-highest-year.aspx
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SPC Kevin Ford
SPC Kevin Ford
>1 y
They felt that before Biden was POTUS too. Even more importantly is why do some think it is going in the wrong direction? We will get different answers on that. For example, people who think the country is going in the wrong direction because RvW was overturned are not going to be voting Republican.

My current prediction, chances are D’s hold the Senate and Rs take the House.
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SPC David S.
SPC David S.
>1 y
SPC Kevin Ford - If you look at the chart "President Joe Biden's Job Approval Ratings, Among U.S. Adults and Partisans" in the link attached; while it breaks down the approval by area it fails to provide the weighted value of each area. I'm not so sure how many people still strongly care about COVID when it comes to voting. I see other areas like the economy having significant weight when it comes to voting. As well there are way more independent voters than either party so the percentages need to viewed in term of votes. 50% of 10 is not the same as 50% of 130 million.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/398117/biden-job-rating-rises-highest-year.aspx
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SPC Kevin Ford
SPC Kevin Ford
>1 y
SPC David S. - I'm thinking most people are over COVID. Roe V Wade, that is going to be an issue for a while now. The economy, always an issue. The democrats are looking better than they were several months ago but they've got a hole to dig out of and midterms are usually not good for the party of the president.
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