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CPT Jack Durish
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I have a friend, now a US citizen, who was born in Taiwan and served in their military. He and I have spoken on the subject and it's his (educated) opinion that their defense plans call for holding the line until the US can arrive (if the US arrives). Will we? That appears to depend on who occupies the White House if and when China decides to attack. Could such a war be limited to Taiwan? Well, we fought in Korea without expanding the war beyond that peninsula...
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LTC Self Employed
LTC (Join to see)
>1 y
It's possible that Russia and China may become allies even if they have differences of opinion on communism just to be able to gang up on us.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/how-a-nuclear-war-between-india-and-pakistan-could-reverse-global-warming
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MAJ Armored Combat Command Commander
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LTC (Join to see) - The Philippines is a Chihuahua playing with two German Shepherds. I am under the belief that China will make Taiwan mincemeat in a few days considering the proximity to China.
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CPT Jack Durish
CPT Jack Durish
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LTC (Join to see) - A reasonable concern IF you think that China would employ nukes. I don't think they or any civilized nation would so long as they don't fear annihilation. A last stand if you will. North Korea? All bets are off
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SSgt GG-15 RET Jim Lint
SSgt GG-15 RET Jim Lint
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LTC (Join to see) - It looks like that is coming true. I included 2 good paragraphs from a subscription service I get. : "In 2019, China is the dominant power in the relationship. China’s Gross Domestic Product is $23 trillion, measured in purchasing power parity, according to the CIA World Factbook. Russia’s GDP is $4 trillion in purchasing power parity, less than that of California or Texas. The Belt and Road Initiative has a global reach and grasp that the Soviet Union never achieved. These are two salient characteristics of the new era.

China has turned to Russia to help compensate for shortfalls resulting from the trade conflict with the US. China still needs Russia because the economies are complementary. Russia has the resources that China needs and China has the capital, trained workforce, industrial capacity and managerial experience to make both of them prosperous."
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1SG Claims Assistant
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The Chicoms would have to launch an overwhelming assault that would crush Taiwan's defenses before we could intervene. I don't see any other strategy that would work.
The casualties of such an invasion would be enormous, but China doesn't care about casualties. What they need to pull this off is sealift, force protection for that sealift, and a crap-ton of airborne formations. They don't have that, but they are building it.
Those aircraft carriers are a joke and not a serious threat to our Navy, or even Taiwan's, really. Their land based missiles are not a joke, and they are building increasingly capable submarines.
Ain't no nukes flying back and forth over Taiwan, so forget that whole nuclear winter theory.
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LTC Self Employed
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I just hope you're right!
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CPT Inactive
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Preach it brother!
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