KASG Springdale, AR. OVC 7 73 73 100 E6 30.13
KAWM West Memphis BKN 7 84 74 72 NE3 30.03
KBVX Batesville, Reg. AR. OVC 6RA-FG 69 67 93 ENE9 30.08
KELD El Dorado, AR. BKN 7 86 74 67 SE7 30.01
KFSM Fort Smith, AR. OVC 4RA- FG 73 73 100 ENE5 30.00 TSE1355 P0013/
KFYV Fayetteville, AR. OVC 7 74 73 97 CALM 30.05
KHKA Blytheville, AR. BKN 7 76 66 71 E6 30.06
KHOT Hot Springs, AR. OVC 7 81 75 82 ENE7 30.01
KHRO Harrison, AR. OVC 7 67 66 97 ESE8 30.09
KJBR Jonesboro, AR. OVC 7 73 67 81 NE10 30.07
KLIT Little Rock AR. OVC 7 80 74 82 E3 30.01
KLRF Little Rock AFB, AR. OVC 7 76 75 99 NE8 30.03
KMEZ Mena, AR. CLR 7 81 79 94 CALM 30.02
KLLQ Monticello, AR. CLR 7 86 64 48 NE7 30.06
KPBF Pine Bluff, AR. BKN 7 88 71 57 VRB05 30.01
KROG Rogers, AR. OVC 7 72 69 91 E10 30.07
KRUE Russellville, AR. OVC 7 75 70 84 E9 30.03
KSGT Stuttgart, AR. OVC 7 83 76 79 SSE6 30.02
KSRC Searcy, AR. OVC 2 1/2RA- FG 73 73 100 NE9 30.05 VIS 1 3/4 V 4 RAB56 P0006/
KTXK Texarkana, AR. SCT 7 84 73 70 ESE5 29.99
KVBT Bentonville, AR. OVC 6RA-FG 72 72 100 E9 30.07 LTG DSNT W/

RAB = RAIN BEGAN E = END LGT = LIGHTNING CIG VARY = CLOUD BASES
CLR = CLEAR DSNT = DISTANT SLP178 SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
SCT = SCATTERED PARTLY CLOUDY WSHFT = WIND SHIFT PRESFR = PRESSURE FALLING RAPIDLY SD
BKN = BROKEN MOSTLY CLOUDY ALQDS = TOTALLY SURROUNDING PRESRR = PRESSURE RISING RAPIDLY
OVC = OVERCAST TSB = THUNDERSTORM BEGAN P0000 = ZERO RAIN

SATURDAY 8/24/2019 SA1630GMT

METEOROLOGIST LARRY OLSON
BROADCAST METEOROLOGIST MIKE SCOTT

azardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Primarily northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 10 PM.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are ongoing this morning and will remain
possible through the day. Locally heavy rainfall has fallen
early Saturday morning, and there will continue to a risk of
localized higher amounts which could result in a flash flood
risk.
More widespread thunderstorms are likely to spread into
northeast Oklahoma Saturday night, and continue eastward
across the area through Sunday morning. These storms will
initially pose a risk of damaging winds, however the risk of
severe weather is likely to lessen as they continue eastward.
The additional rainfall will also raise flooding concerns.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Storms are likely to be ongoing Sunday morning, however the risk
of severe weather will have lessened. The potential for locally
heavy rainfall will continue and flooding concerns will be present.
Additional widespread storms are expected to develop along a cold
front across southern Kansas Monday afternoon. These storms will
spread southeastward Monday evening and overnight. Severe weather
currently appears likely as the storms spread into eastern Oklahoma.
Additionally, heavy rainfall and flooding concerns will persist.

Prior to the storms on Monday, temperatures will warm and dewpoints
will remain very high resulting in afternoon heat index values of
105 to 110 degrees. Excessive heat advisories may be needed for
Monday afternoon.

Thunderstorm potential will continue Tuesday and Wednesday as
the cold front slowly pushes southward, with drier weather possible
by late next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$





Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1128 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

ARC131-250430-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.W.0045.190824T1628Z-190825T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sebastian AR-
1128 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
Northern Sebastian County in west central Arkansas...

* Until 1130 PM CDT Saturday.

* At 1127 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated that the heavier rainfall
has moved out the area. While only lighter amounts of rain are
expected today, runoff from the heavy rain that fell earlier this
morning will result in ongoing areal flooding.

* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
Fort Smith... Greenwood...
Barling... Lavaca...
Hackett... Bonanza...
Bloomer... Fort Smith Regional Airport...
Jenny Lind... Central City...
Mill Creek... Rye Hill...
Ursula...

This includes Interstate 540 between mile markers 8 and 14.

LAT...LON 3523 9408 3519 9443 3536 9443 3537 9433
3536 9432 3535 9430 3536 9428 3535 9424
3536 9421 3539 9419 3538 9415 3539 9413
3540 9408

$$




Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1115 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241815-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
1115 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

.NOW...
At 11:15 AM...Doppler radars detected scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms impacting portions of eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. These showers and storms, some producing heavy
rainfall, were moving off to the northeast at around 15 mph.

Through 1:15 PM...Occasional showers and isolated thunderstorms
will remain possible, generally for locations along and south of a
Calvin to Welch line. Locally heavy downpours, capable of
producing hourly rainfall of around 1 inch per hour will be
possible, mainly across southeast and east-central Oklahoma, as
well as west-central Arkansas.

$$




Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
941 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

ARC033-131-OKC06 [login to see] 30-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.W.0043.190824T1441Z-190825T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Crawford AR-Sebastian AR-Haskell OK-Sequoyah OK-Muskogee OK-
941 AM CDT Sat Aug 24 2019

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
Southwestern Crawford County in northwestern Arkansas...
Northwestern Sebastian County in west central Arkansas...
Northeastern Haskell County in southeastern Oklahoma...
Sequoyah County in east central Oklahoma...
East central Muskogee County in east central Oklahoma...

* Until 930 PM CDT Saturday.

* At 934 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated that heavier rain has ended
across the area. While lighter amounts are expected today, runoff
from rainfall that occurred overnight and earlier this morning
will result in ongoing flooding today, and possibly continuing
into the evening. Areas in and around Fort Smith have been
experiencing widespread street flooding along with several road
closures.



* Some locations that may experience flooding include...
Fort Smith... Van Buren...
Sallisaw... Cedarville...
Alma... Muldrow...
Roland... Mulberry...
Warner... Vian...
Gore... Dyer...
Webbers Falls... Gans...
Marble City... Tamaha...
Moffett... Rudy...
Brushy... Greenleaf State Park...


This includes the following highways,
Interstate 40 in Arkansas between mile markers 0 and 21.
Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 276 and 328.
Interstate 540 between mile markers 1 and 7.
Interstate 49 between mile markers 22 and 27.

LAT...LON 3540 9408 3539 9419 3535 9424 3537 9434
3536 9443 3538 9443 3536 9454 3541 9532
3561 9533 3564 9512 3564 9447 3556 9406