Posted on Oct 27, 2020
SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
700 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

...ZETA NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 89.0W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM E OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 540 MI...865 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to Navarre Florida
* Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Vermilion Bay, Pensacola Bay, and
Mobile Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama border
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta Allen to Progreso Mexico
* Cozumel
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located over the northern Yucatan Peninsula near latitude 21.3
North, longitude 89.0 West. Zeta is moving toward the northwest
near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to
continue today. Zeta should turn toward the north tonight, and a
faster northward to north-northeastward motion is expected on
Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move over
the southern Gulf of Mexico later this morning, and over the central
Gulf of Mexico tonight. Zeta is forecast to approach the northern
Gulf Coast on Wednesday, and make landfall within the hurricane
warning area late Wednesday or Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Zeta is forecast to re-strengthen when it moves over the
southern Gulf of Mexico later this morning, and become a hurricane
again later today. Zeta is forecast to be at or near hurricane
strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43
KNHC, and on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Mexico within areas of
onshore winds.

Along the northern Gulf coast, the combination of a dangerous storm
surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to
be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The
water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in
the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high
tide...

Port Fourchon LA to Dauphin Island AL including Lake Borgne...4-6
ft
Intracoastal City LA to Port Fourchon LA including Vermilion
Bay...2-4 ft
Dauphin Island AL to Navarre FL including Mobile Bay and Pensacola
Bay...2-4 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...2-4 ft
Navarre FL to Yankeetown FL including Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint
Andrew Bay...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,
and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with local amounts of 12
inches are possible through Tuesday along and east-northeast of
Zetas track across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and the Cayman
Islands. An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain will be possible across
western Cuba through Tuesday.

An initial area of heavy rains will begin to impact the central Gulf
Coast tonight, spreading north into the Tennessee Valley on
Wednesday. The core of the heavy rains associated with Zeta will
push northeast from eastern Louisiana, across southern Mississippi,
Alabama, northern Georgia through Wednesday night, and through the
southern Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic on Thursday. Rainfall
totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches are
expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small
stream, and minor river flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within the warning
area in Mexico this morning.

Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area
on the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday, with tropical storm
conditions beginning Wednesday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions
are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area on the
northern Gulf coast by late Wednesday, and tropical storm
conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area late
Wednesday.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible Wednesday and Wednesday
night over southeastern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the
western Panhandle of Florida.

______________________________________________________________


TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL [login to see] UTC TUE OCT 27 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY...
LOUISIANA...TO NAVARRE...FLORIDA...INCLUDING LAKE BORGNE...LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA BAY...AND MOBILE BAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA...
TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...
LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE...
FLORIDA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO PROGRESO...
INCLUDING COZUMEL.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO NAVARRE FLORIDA
* LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...VERMILION BAY...PENSACOLA
BAY...AND
MOBILE BAY

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE MAUREPAS...AND METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA ALLEN TO PROGRESO MEXICO
* COZUMEL
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION
OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM
SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS
A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM
RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL
OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF
LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM
THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 88.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 88.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 87.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.3N 90.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 24.4N 91.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N 91.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 31.7N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 36.5N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 40.3N 70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 210SE 180SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 88.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 27/1200Z


_____________________________________________________________________


Tropical Storm Zeta Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL282020
400 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

Satellite imagery and surface data from Mexico indicated that Zeta
made landfall along the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula just north of
Tulum near Ciudad Chemuyil just before 0400 UTC. A WeatherFlow
observing site just south of Ciudad Chemuyil reported light winds
and a minimum pressure of 978 mb. Another WeatherFlow site near
Playa del Carmen reported a one-minute sustained wind of 64 kt with
a gust to 76 kt. Hurricane-force winds gusts were also reported on
Cozumel. Since the time of landfall, the center of Zeta has moved
inland over the northern portions of the Yucatan peninsula. Some
weakening has likely occurred, so the initial intensity has been
reduced to 60 kt. Zeta is forecast to emerge off the northern coast
of the Yucatan peninsula over the southern Gulf of Mexico shortly
after 1200 UTC today. Although some slight additional weakening is
possible while the center moves overland early this morning,
environmental conditions consisting of low vertical wind shear and
warm water over the southern Gulf of Mexico should allow for
re-strengthening over the next 24 hour or so. By the time Zeta moves
over the northern Gulf, cooler waters and increasing shear are
likely to cause the hurricane's intensity to level off or perhaps
weaken slightly before landfall. Regardless, Zeta is expected to be
at or near hurricane intensity at landfall. Given Zeta's
acceleration before landfall, strong winds are likely to spread well
inland along northern Gulf coast Wednesday night. The new NHC
intensity forecast is again similar to the previous one, and is
little above the model consensus, in best agreement with the HWRF
model.

Zeta is moving northwestward or 305/12 kt. There has been no change
to the track forecast reasoning. The hurricane will move around the
southwestern portion of a mid-level ridge center east of Florida.
By tonight, a vigorous shortwave trough ejecting out of the
southwestern United States will cause Zeta to turn northward, and
accelerate northward to north-northeastward on Wednesday and
Thursday. This will bring Zeta across the north-central Gulf coast
late Wednesday and over the southeastern United States on Thursday.
The track guidance remains in good agreement with only some slight
timing differences. The updated NHC track forecast is again very
similar to the previous advisory and close to the various consensus
models. The new track, intensity, and wind radii forecasts
necessitate the issuance of Storm Surge, Hurricane, and Tropical
Storm Warnings for a portion of the northern Gulf coast.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the
northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through this morning. Heavy
rainfall is expected across the Yucatan Peninsula, the Cayman
Islands, and western Cuba today, which could lead to flash flooding
in urban areas.

2. Hurricane conditions and life-threatening storm surge are
expected along portions of the northern Gulf Coast by late
Wednesday, and Storm Surge and Hurricane Warnings are in effect.
Residents in the watch areas should follow any advice given by
local officials.

3. Between tonight and Thursday, heavy rainfall is expected from
portions of the central U.S. Gulf Coast into the southern
Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic States near and in advance of Zeta.
This rainfall will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor
river flooding.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0900Z 21.0N 88.4W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND YUCATAN
12H 27/1800Z 22.3N 90.1W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WATER
24H 28/0600Z 24.4N 91.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 27.5N 91.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 29/0600Z 31.7N 88.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
60H 29/1800Z 36.5N 81.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/0600Z 40.3N 70.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROPICAL STORM ZETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282020
0900 UTC TUE OCT 27 2020

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ZETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)

OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14)

PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)

WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)

CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)

DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)

NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)

NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11)

RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)

CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) X(33) X(33)
ATLANTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13)

SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17)

ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15)

APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18)

GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)

PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 42(43) 4(47) X(47) X(47)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 25(41) X(41) X(41)
COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COLUMBUS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 11(28) X(28) X(28)
BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 37(37) 16(53) X(53) X(53)
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) X(16) X(16)
MONTGOMERY AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 53(55) 4(59) X(59) X(59)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 55(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) 10(10) 31(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 66(69) 3(72) X(72) X(72)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 30(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 65(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 32(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 59(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 62(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
BURAS LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
BURAS LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 8( 8) 45(53) 23(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 18(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)

JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 11(11) 45(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 9( 9) 73(82) 7(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) 51(51) 13(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) 25(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 22(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 6( 6) 25(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)

FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)

JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

MERIDA MX 34 82 X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
MERIDA MX 50 13 X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)

COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COZUMEL MX 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 54(60) 3(63) X(63) X(63)
PENSACOLA NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21)
PENSACOLA NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

KEESLER AB 34 X X( X) 13(13) 63(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
KEESLER AB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 39(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
KEESLER AB 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)

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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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SGT David A. 'Cowboy' Groth
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Thank you for the great weather update brother SSgt (Join to see)
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SSgt Forensic Meteorological Consultant
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PO2 Builder
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Thanks Larry. Looks like this one is going to head right over us.
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