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Cpl Jeff N.
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Some storms do follow fairly easy to predict paths. Many do not. Irma, last year, was similar in fashion to Dorian. The problem is trackers want to track it and publish their data even when they know their data is not good or the models have such divergence they do not really know where it is going. Forecasting the path more than a day or two out is pretty hard to do accurately.

The issue with weather predictions is there is little negative consequence for predicting calamity and being wrong. There is only a negative consequence for not predicting calamity hand having it happen somewhere.
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Col Carl Whicker
Col Carl Whicker
>1 y
Exactly! While stationed in Guam, one local forecaster would predict every tropical storm within 500 miles was going to make landfall on Guam. Evidently his philosophy was that he only needed to be right once!
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