Posted on Apr 15, 2015
COL Charles Williams
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Yes, we did the best we could to train and hand over security and policing to the GOI, within the timelines we were given... But did, we leave too soon?

Did you have confidence in the long term prognosis when you left?

Remember, before you comment/opine... We are still in Germany, Japan, Korea etc... Lasting change takes a long time to take root.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/15/world/middleeast/iraq-military-united-states-forces-camp-taji.html?_r=2


"Iraq’s army looked good on paper when the Americans left, after one of the biggest training missions carried out under wartime conditions. But after that, senior Iraqi officers began buying their own commissions, paying for them out of the supply, food and payroll money of their troops. Corruption ran up and down the ranks; desertion was rife."
Edited >1 y ago
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CSM Brigade Operations (S3) Sergeant Major
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I was on an Iraqi National Police Transition Team in 2006 and saw first hand living with the Iraqis that the mission of training and advising them would take upwards of 20 years minimum. The Iraqi officers "buying" their commissions was going on back then. "Ghost" Soliders/Policemen on the payroll was SOP. Maintenance was only conducted after the truck/vehicle broke down.

Unlike Germany, Korea, and Japan I don't believe the Iraq/Afghanistan culture is capable of "righting" itself in a form of a stabilized civilization. I really don't believe any Islam culture is capable of doing it themselves. You could point to the U.A.E., Qatar, Saudi Arabia and say that those countries are doing well but, those countries are propelled by Third Country Nationals that are treated like slaves, there are more TCNs in those countries than indigenous people, plus they have an incredible amount of money.

We definitely left Iraq too early, we put too much blood, money, and resources into the country to not remain until the mission (whatever that was) was complete. I am currently in Afghanistan and although we are maintaining the troop numbers throughout the year, drawdown is still the main focus. We are making the same mistake here that we did in Iraq.

If we leave we need to just stay gone and not come back. If we are staying we need to stay and see it through, however long it takes.
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COL Charles Williams
COL Charles Williams
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Hooah CSM (Join to see). That was my world too.... Police Chief, Prison Warden by Day, Insurgent by night....
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Sgt Aaron Kennedy, MS
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Edited >1 y ago
Iraqis are not Americans.

Iraqi Soldiers are not American Soldiers.

You can put lipstick and pearls on a pig....

This is not to say the Iraqis are bad people. They aren't. But they just don't have the same (for lack of better word) background we do.

Expecting them to go from where they were to where we are, was an unreasonable mission. When we "liberated them" we obligated ourselves to their protection for generations. Not years, not decades, but generations.

Edit: word
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Sgt Aaron Kennedy, MS
Sgt Aaron Kennedy, MS
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LTC Paul Labrador Not at all! There's a huge difference between "They're Arabs" and "They're not Americans" however. We're the best equipped and trained fighting force in the world, with decades of experience behind us. We just have a huge history of Warfare.

I'm not saying they aren't capable, just you have to "develop that capability" aka "nation building." The Japan/Germany method, but without the Conquer model. There needed to be a happy medium between this "failure" and full scale occupation, if that makes sense.

As you implied, "If you cut off a chickens head.. it's going to flail" we did that when we knocked out Saddam. He had taken out all other threats to himself, so we need at least 10~ years before an Iraqi leader can rise to control the country. We can support, we can assist, but we can't be the controlling agent.
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LTC Paul Labrador
LTC Paul Labrador
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Absolutley. Incidentally, I think maybe the Iraqis wanted the "conquerer model"...at least initially. Where we lost a lot of good will among the general populace was when we failed "to make the trains run on time" (so to speak) because we were too hands off intially. Good discussion!
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Sgt Aaron Kennedy, MS
Sgt Aaron Kennedy, MS
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LTC Paul Labrador For lack of a better word, it would have solved it with the "Machismo" model. "We have more money, and Guns. We're in Charge." It likely would have sped up the rebuild & turnover process by a good 5-10 years.
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SGT Fernando Irlanda
SGT Fernando Irlanda
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True Good discussion 
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MAJ Operations Officer (S3)
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Not even a little bit sir. I left Iraq the day before they closed the last COB down. I thought we left too early then and I still think so now. For the amount of time, money, and lives we invested we sure seemed willing to wash our hands of the whole affair. I understand the economic concept of sunk resources, but Iraq was not ready to stand on it's own. Sometimes I wonder if that part of the world is capable of being ruled by anything other than a cruel dictatorship.
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Are you/we surprised? U.S. Soldiers, Back in Iraq, Find Security Forces in Disrepair....
COL Vincent Stoneking
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Nope. Called it.
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LTC John Shaw
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The Iraqi and Afghan forces will not properly maintain any US equipment, it costs too much money and requires significant detail orientation and organizational discipline. Without US forces to assist and influence these countries will return to the 3rd world despots we temporarily displaced.
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MAJ Senior Observer   Controller/Trainer
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LTC John Shaw, on that note Sir, I am utterly amazed at the volume of equipment ISIS has managed to keep in an operational status since capturing it last year.
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LTC John Shaw
LTC John Shaw
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MAJ (Join to see) I am sure ISIS has one tank, MRAP, HMMMV working and they make sure they show it on TV, all the others are riding in a technical firing their AK's.
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SPC Angel Guma
SPC Angel Guma
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MAJ (Join to see) Sir- Thank you very much for noting this. I have thought the same thing.
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LTC Lewis Cox
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No real difference in this war and MY WAR (Vietnam). Lost over 58,000 and never allowed to carry the war to Hanoi and definitely WIN!!!
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COL Charles Williams
COL Charles Williams
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Thanks for your service LTC Lewis Cox... Unfortunately, it appears this my be more and true as times goes on.
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GySgt Wayne A. Ekblad
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I am not the least bit surprised. Upset, disappointed, and angry? Hell, yeah! But not surprised.
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TSgt Tim (lj) Littlejohn
TSgt Tim (lj) Littlejohn
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As you have a right to be and should be!!!
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SGM Erik Marquez
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Edited >1 y ago
"Did you have confidence in the long term prognosis when you left?"
No, not even a little bit.
This was after my commander handed back Sadr City to Iraqi officials
This was after my commander had both legs removed by an IED hours later
This was after we lost another fine leader on the way back from taking the commander to the level III
This was after we started down the road of "ask your Iraqi counterparts first before you...."
This was as I was leaving... for the second time from Iraq and no I had no delusions that it would end well. I do not know of any Soldier on the ground at my level that thought it would work out well.
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LTC Paul Labrador
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Considering how corrupt the Iraqi government was, not at all....

One thing to remember about Iraq: culture aside, there is not a large pool of candidates who have experience running a nation. Saddaam ensured that, as anyone was smart, ambitious and/or talented was a threat to him and his regime. So those folks either left or ended up in a shallow unmarked grave. It is going to take time to grow not only competent officers and NCOs, but competent civil servants as well.
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SFC Mark Merino
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Corruption is at the core of these dictator states. They were just waiting until they had little supervision to go right back to the old ways of doing things. It is all they know. No more invasions/liberations/nation building missions unless there is resolve to stay just like the other countries we are still woring with. Japan, Germany, Korea, etc. 70 years later and we are STILL there. We have to put priority into fixing our own problems at home. Our infrastructure is in dire need of repair.
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Lt Col Fred Marheine, PMP
Lt Col Fred Marheine, PMP
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SFC Mark Merino you're thinking like an American from 100 years ago. #1 requires we acknowledge there are those on the planet who are less skilled / capable. #2 requires holding people accountable for their actions. #3 is more of #2. Americans used to think that way...but "we" don't seem to believe it ourselves any more.
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LTC Paul Labrador
LTC Paul Labrador
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To be fair, Mark, we could have left Japan, Korea, and Germany decades ago. We stayed due to keeping forward bases near potential hotspots, not because they needed us to run their countries for them.
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SFC Mark Merino
SFC Mark Merino
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Not only could we have left, I believe the people would prefer it if we left, until those paychecks stopped coming. Okinawa is very ready for us to leave. The elections they have there propose moving troops to Guam.....no build them a different base.......no Guam.......go back to the old base..........
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LTC Paul Labrador
LTC Paul Labrador
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Well, they want us to leave until the next big threat starts to appear. ROK is perfectly fine with us there, as long as the troopies behave themselves. With the resurgence of Russia under Putin, I think the Germans are rethinking wanting us to leave (and you know the Poles and Czechs want us to move our bases to them permanently).
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