What is the probability of switching branches from Army to Air Force?

Real slim unless you have a critical MOS that they need.

I had served in the Army for approximately 12 years then transferred to the Air Force for 6 years and then transferred back to the Army till I had to retire after serving about 6 years.

This is possible (and unique) since this does happen, but a very small percentage of service members do so.

~Brian

Probabilities? Talk to a University mathematician. If you want to change services, talk to a recruiter - they are the paid experts. If you want random answers listen to the many opinions here before you end up at the recruiters office after all. Are YOU in control of the direction of your career? Or are a group of social media people going to influence the direction of your career? Stop procrastinating and talk to a recruiter and do what is best for YOU (and your country).

Nothing ventured; nothing gain. Good luck!

So there is a good chance. Reach out to a prior service recruiter for the USAF, preferably in your area. There are quotas that they have. Takes about a year if you do it after Army service. If you're still in you can try a lat.

Nowadays?… Maybe more doable on the enlisted side if you don’t care what the AFSC/MOS is . As an Officer ? Slim. Unless you have a STEM skill set or degree , or young enough to be a pilot candidate. The Air Force, Coast Guard and Space Force are some of the most selective branches. And they are not particularly welcoming to prior service members from other branches . I was AD duty USAF, went to Air Guard to finish college and tend to family issues; tried to come back after I got a degree , and it was nothing but run around for 2+ years . So I went and commissioned into the Navy (who were very accommodating). Keep in mind I was already in the ANG & a prior USAF in multiple AFSCs…. I’m just writing this to inform whoever reads , it is very doable to go to Navy/Army from Air Force , but VERY hard the other way around… BUT if it’s what you want , try anyways and who knows what the future holds !

Air Force is notorious for not taking prior enlisted.

Why ate you asking a question here? Talk to a recruiter dummy. Geez.

The question nobody is asking is 'Why do you want to switch? Why did you not enlist in the Air Force in the first place?

is your mos needed? talk to a recruiter

Well, the reality of it also is that the Army has a lower minimum score requirement on the ASVAB than the Air Force, and if you do not meet that minimum score you don't transfer. It is a lot easier to go from the Air Force to another Branch than for another branch to go into the Air Force. I have served in both the Air Force then in the Army.

My son wanted to go active AF out of the ANG. The AF required him to go back to E-2 from E-5 to go active AF. He happened by an Army recruiter at a fair booth after deciding he wasn't going back to E-2. Of course the Army recruiter approached him about enlisting. He explained that he was already an E-5 in the Air Guard and wanted to go Active AF but it would require that he take a reduction in rank to E-2. Bottom line, he signed up for Active Army as an E-5, took completely different career field, did 6 years (including 3 deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan) came back out of Active Army into the Army guard, was quickly promoted to E-6 and retired from the Army Guard with 21 years service.
Why is it the Army values Air Guardsmen more than the Air Force does.

Good luch Spec 4... going to be hard but I do not see why not....
Im rooting for you.
https://youtu.be/LqxrJHkzS0I

Army too tough for you???

I was offered a Major slot when I was a Capt. I had a useful MOS, and I would have been a ground person. if its a useful MOS, it should be a problem, then again there are OJT slots.

Are you active or in a reserve component?You have a higher propensity to" switch" as you say, from a reserve component. The Good LTC indicated which form is needed.
If your active duty, I would advise you ETS, then bring in your 214 to an AF recruiter. They do only have so amy slots that translate and or MOS' that convey to the AF MOS'
Good luck...hoooah!!

Looking at your career field (68W) but not knowing your overall interest and level of education I would urge you to check out either a direct commissioning program or if you are interested a paid college to commissioning program as a nurse or PA. There are numerous scholarships and programs being offered for completion of a nursing degree and all services compete for those graduates that are willing to join. As an E8 I had actually applied and was accepted to a nursing program in 1993 but by the time the program was scheduled to start I had been picked up as a SGM but decided to retire and go to the Univesity of Colorado health sciences to avoid an additional PCS move. Good luck to you and I agree with Col. McKay about missing 100% of the shots you don't take.

It is very doable, especially if you are in a shortage specialty in the Air Force. I should know...I did it myself as an intelligence analyst. Of course, I did go to the AF Reserves, but it's still a branch transfer.

Another option is to ETS from your current branch then enlist into AF Reserves. It’s been a while but I have seen this route work a few times.

I remember this one Marine that told me he was prior AF. He got out and then tried to go back in, but he couldn't because the AF was not taking any prior servicemen at the time, which resulted in him joining the Marines. In the other hand, I know one of my former young Marines joined the AF Reserves right after she got out of the Marines. No issues whatsoever. It seems to me it's all about where in the AF recruiting fiscal year you are when you talk to the recruiter. Good luck.