Posted on Aug 31, 2019
A Reckoning over Hong Kong Is Coming and It Will Take China's Economy with It
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LTC (Join to see)
LTC (Join to see) what is really funny about this parody is that my mother came from Honduras legally in 1959. I go to Honduras yearly to visit my mother who is now almost 88 years old with Advanced dementia.
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Capt Daniel Goodman
I follow your reasoning, however, I assure you, this is no parody...this is a chaotic "flip", just as Walter Rostow predicted in Stages of Economic Growth...it has absolutely nothing to do with anything here...this is a purely geopolical, mathematically determined event...the analogy you described in terms of American internal political aspects are, at least to me, totally irrelevant in this context...this is simply healthy Democratic capitalism asserting itself over Communism, period, that, at any rate, is my perception of it....
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Capt Daniel Goodman
https://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=eZnbBwAAQBAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PP8&dq=capitalism+nonlinear+chaotic+dynamics+flip+macroeconomics+rostow&ots=xJX2aMa75C&sig=f4KGUI4qHthkbqFi_mQsZwRLDd4#v=onepage&q=capitalism%20nonlinear%20chaotic%20dynamics%20flip%20macroeconomics%20rostow&f=false
This is extremely close to my thought process, it totally mirrors that of Walter W Rostow....
This is extremely close to my thought process, it totally mirrors that of Walter W Rostow....
From Catastrophe to Chaos: A General Theory of Economic Discontinuities
"Now, however, weface an Age of Discontinuity in world economy and tech nology. We might succeed in making it an age of great economic growth as weil. But the one thing that is certain so far is that it will be a period of change-in technology and in economic policy, in industry structures and in economic theo ry, in the knowledge needed to govern and manage, and in economic issues. While we have been busy finishing the great...
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Capt Daniel Goodman
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Capt Daniel Goodman
Those ChiCom idiots can fight it all they want...they're all done, it's just a question of when now, not if....
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MSG Stan Hutchison
Capt Bill Mauer - Do you not think that ifs China's economy collapses, it will not take the rest of the world economies?
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Capt Bill Mauer
Not completely. We don't have the massive real estate bubble and personal debt problem that they do, and their wealthy have been liquidating their real estate in the U.S. since the RMB devaluation started. Also, their factories are closing because we haven't been buying their output; our factories have been opening/reopening because we and the Eu are buying ours. And after the African and Asian invitational sit down at the G7, the Chinese Belt and Road scam has been exposed and infrastructure orders are being cancelled. The Chinese are being enclosed in a bubble of their own making.
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MSG Stan Hutchison
Capt Bill Mauer - Since my major was in history and not economics, I will bow to your opinion, for now. I will however watch closely.
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Capt Daniel Goodman
I disagree...world economy is NOT determined by that of China...I realize why the thought, I do, truly, however, that is, at least to me, most definitely NOT the case...what is happening in China now, that it's Commie at all, is purely a tragic accident of a history that was totally bungled as well as hopelessly mismanaged...China was due to have been a capitalist democracy, and will be...all technologically mature, healthy societies are...read Walter W Rostow's Stages of Economic Growth, he got it right, Mark, Friedrich, and Engels, were all deluded buffoons by contrast...what happens in macroeconomics is purely mathematical...individual human actions are, by and large, utterly irrelevant, except insofar as the "dictator phenomenon" periodically bollixes up healthy democratic capitlist growth...the closest analogy, at least to me, is a biological immune response...microeconomic aspects are merely factors in larger nonlinear chaotic dynamic macroeconomic phenomena...I don't think of real estate bubbles, stock fluctuations, or any such minor perturbations, except in the larger macroeconomic context...the Great Depression was the prototypical mathematical example where a microeconomic perturbation had worldwide macroeconomic ramifications...that's just the way I think of they matter, at any rate, guys....
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