Posted on Feb 22, 2022
Will America commit to a shooting war with Russia if Putin invades the Ukraine over joining NATO?
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We all know Putin's MO on the world stage by now. But what should America do in the likely event that Russia invades Ukraine? Will Biden truly commit to a shooting war with Russia, or will he fall back on a Sanctions only approach to the issue?
Posted 4 y ago
Responses: 54
Ukraine can expect the same security as was provided to Afghanistan. Putin has a full understanding of our current administration’s weakness and will exploit it. Standby for China and Taiwan.
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MCPO Roger Collins
LTC Eugene Chu Nice job of deflection. The intent of my post was not a comparison of Taiwan to Ukraine, but shows our tepid response to Russian’s beginning invasion encourages China to go for Taiwan. We will see how it plays out, if Russia fully invades and take over Ukraine.
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SPC Steven Depuy
LTC Eugene Chu - And our promise to defend them if they gave up their nukes means what?
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SFC (Join to see)
@SFC Bernard Walko from your own writing "And all this time we didn’t have terrorists breathing down our neck trying to take down our leadership" are you talking about January 6th, all those maga lovers trying to kill Pelosy and Pence?
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The NATO thing is BS from Putin. Ukraine is a long way from meeting the qualifications of becoming a NATO member. If having a NATO member on his border was really a concern Putin should have invaded Finland which is only not a member because it doesn't want to be. It's qualified to join and may actually decide it wants to now.
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SSG Bill McCoy
Lt Col John (Jack) Christensen - With tongue in cheek, I'll say that I'm surprised Putin, in relation to Alaska, hasn't tried to nullify the purchase of Alaska.
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SSG Bill McCoy
LTC Eugene Chu - Yes, but imagine if we hadn't bought it ... or even had we not made it a state! With Russian (or past USSR) bases been in the Alaska territory, we'd have been in a real pickle.
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SMSgt Anil Heendeniya
That purchase was one of unintended brilliance on our part, giving us a cheap buffer zone, which the Russians [now] claim to have not cared about. I'm pretty sure they look back at it and privately regret that sale. They're always pushing for extended access into Europe and beyond, which is the reason they wanted to invade Ukraine.
Putin badly wants to control The Black Sea and gain access to Europe, even if it means challenging Turkey in violation of the 1936 accord and bringing us into the fight. The only way we can stop them is when Turkey asks us, as we're not an authorized player for the protection of its waters unless we're invited in. So when we do go in at Turkey's behest, Putin will call on his alliance with China to thin our forces. Bishop to King 4 and we're out...?
We're in for an extended challenge by Russia for worldwide hegemony, so Putin's chess game is slowly unveiling itself. I wonder where Xi Jingping and his huge army comes into the fray? Let's see...when we challenge Russia's entry into The Black Sea--China will challenge us elsewhere to pull our resources away and make us fight on two fronts. It'll be a sleight of hand distraction while Jingping runs his game to our west. Those two are out to divide the allies and conquer at will!
With both our adversaries pulling out all the stops with hypersonic weapons development and bolstering their forces, we had better get our battle plans in order...and I'm concerned about the readiness and fitness of the younger generations whose exercise routines are video games and junk food.
This won't be pretty.
Putin badly wants to control The Black Sea and gain access to Europe, even if it means challenging Turkey in violation of the 1936 accord and bringing us into the fight. The only way we can stop them is when Turkey asks us, as we're not an authorized player for the protection of its waters unless we're invited in. So when we do go in at Turkey's behest, Putin will call on his alliance with China to thin our forces. Bishop to King 4 and we're out...?
We're in for an extended challenge by Russia for worldwide hegemony, so Putin's chess game is slowly unveiling itself. I wonder where Xi Jingping and his huge army comes into the fray? Let's see...when we challenge Russia's entry into The Black Sea--China will challenge us elsewhere to pull our resources away and make us fight on two fronts. It'll be a sleight of hand distraction while Jingping runs his game to our west. Those two are out to divide the allies and conquer at will!
With both our adversaries pulling out all the stops with hypersonic weapons development and bolstering their forces, we had better get our battle plans in order...and I'm concerned about the readiness and fitness of the younger generations whose exercise routines are video games and junk food.
This won't be pretty.
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SGT Cynthia Rouse
At this time, neither Finland nor Sweden are members of NATO. Both countries will decide about applying for NATO membership by mid-summer.
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The GOP sure does love their Pootin. I can only imagine how worse this would be if trump was in charge.
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PFC John Behrman
I'm not entirely sure. Trump was a hard president to read. One day he is pro Putin, the next he is all but threatening to launch ICBMs at his head. I think that if Trump was in office and if he told Putin to back off, and Putin (being Putin) thumbed his nose at him again, we would already have boots and tanks on the ground in Kiev.
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1SG (Join to see)
PFC John Behrman - It may be hard to say but we know Trump shared highly classified data with Russia and we most likely do not know what all was shared with Russia.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia/trump-revealed-intelligence-secrets-to-russians-in-oval-office-officials-idUSKCN18B2MX
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia/trump-revealed-intelligence-secrets-to-russians-in-oval-office-officials-idUSKCN18B2MX
Trump revealed intelligence secrets to Russians in Oval Office: officials
President Donald Trump disclosed highly classified information to Russia's foreign minister about a planned Islamic State operation, two U.S. officials said on Monday, plunging the White House into another controversy just months into Trump's short tenure in office.
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MSG Thomas Currie
1SG (Join to see) - So let's see what you are jabbering about....
You post an article that completely refutes the claim that Trump shared any classified information, but you insist that the article you posted must be wrong because you don't like Trump, so he must be guilty of something.
You fail to recognize that it is IMPOSSIBLE for the president to reveal "classified" material in any unauthorized manner, because HE is the ultimate authority controlling the classification of the material.
You post an article that completely refutes the claim that Trump shared any classified information, but you insist that the article you posted must be wrong because you don't like Trump, so he must be guilty of something.
You fail to recognize that it is IMPOSSIBLE for the president to reveal "classified" material in any unauthorized manner, because HE is the ultimate authority controlling the classification of the material.
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I see this thread has evolved into another attempt to smear POTUS and not actually discuss the situation.
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MSG Stan Hutchison
SSG Bill McCoy - My opinion: I think Trump made a deal with Putin. He told Putin: if you don't invade until after I get reelected, I won't do anything about it.
Just an opinion of course.
Just an opinion of course.
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MSG Stan Hutchison
MSG Thomas Currie - "How would you propose to discuss the situation as it effects the US without commenting on POTUS? "
You do it by addressing the facts, not political opinion or personal attacks.
You do it by addressing the facts, not political opinion or personal attacks.
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SSG Bill McCoy
MSG Stan Hutchison - We're all entitled to opinions, Sarge. Your reply reminds me of the video/audio clip of Obama advising the Russian President that he'll have much more leeway, or words to that affect, AFTER he'd be reelected. I don't believe Trump ever made such a deal, or promise. As I stated, he had put Putin on notice that if Russians were sent into Syria, we'd kill them, and he was true to his word; we did.
Trump had stated, quite openly, that he'd love to get along with Putin ... and there's no reason to thing that wouldn't be good; at least not in the context of his meaning. Being able to have civil, blunt discourse with someone isn't bad.
Trump had stated, quite openly, that he'd love to get along with Putin ... and there's no reason to thing that wouldn't be good; at least not in the context of his meaning. Being able to have civil, blunt discourse with someone isn't bad.
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MSG Stan Hutchison
SSG Bill McCoy - Here we are with our opinions again. (of course that is what 90% of political discussions are)
Based no his entire adult life, I would not trust one word from Trump. He has a long record of lying and cheating.
Based no his entire adult life, I would not trust one word from Trump. He has a long record of lying and cheating.
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That ice cream licker will go on sanctions that don't matter...he won't go toe to toe with Putin IMHO!
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SGT (Join to see)
Lt Col Scott Shuttleworth So what do you suggest? An all out nuclear war with Russia?
You put American soldiers on the ground and that us what you will get. One would think someone who had made it to LTC could understand such simple things. I guess I give you more credit than you deserve.
You put American soldiers on the ground and that us what you will get. One would think someone who had made it to LTC could understand such simple things. I guess I give you more credit than you deserve.
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Lt Col Scott Shuttleworth
SGT (Join to see) I don't need a lesson in diplomacy from someone who has never study policy and doctrine at the strategic level and especially someone who hasn't made it past Sgt and won't post their name...if you are going to say it then own up to it.
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SSG Bill McCoy
Sanctions ... all while still importing Russian oil. Does Russian (oh, and IRANIAN) oil pollute less than domestic oil? Apparently, Biden and his administration think so.
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SSG Bill McCoy
Lt Col Scott Shuttleworth - I've come to completely IGNORE supposed servicce members or Veterans who hide behind annonymity. They strike me as the proverbial Internet Troll.
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Reality check here. Ukraine has been a NATO "Partner" for some time. Geopolitically, it will never be a Member until there are long term changes in Russia to the extent that Russia won't care. Don't hold your breath. People forget that NATO wasn't formed to offset the USSR. NATO was pushed by the Sergeants of WWI who became the Generals of WW2. Europe had up to 1916 been going at each other's throat every 75 years since the 1300s. Now we saw them at it 20 years later in WW2. The idea was if you could get England, Germany, and France to protect each other, then maybe you could break the cycle. It was many years before Germany was allowed to have the head of NATO be one of theirs. So NATO was pretty much sorted out and the USSR essentially made it a stop talking and do it now thing. We have little strategic or commercial interest in the Ukraine. It's not worth going to war over. Putin wants to create the old Soviet buffer of proxy states. Putin has had over seven years to prepare end arounds for sanctions. The US and British sanctions only apply to a limited range of banking institutions. You'd have to get the G-10 approval to block access to the Swiss banks on down. I don't see that germinating yet. Strict port control and internet isolation would get Putin's attention more. Regardless, this will get much messier before it gets better. Only sure winning tactic is to get the Russian people to turn on Putin. That will require widespread suffering on their part to get to that point. So far, neither the US or NATO has implemented much that will achieve that objective in the near term.
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Russia has already invade the Ukraine. Twice. But they are doing it slowly. Putin is not an idiot. He realizes that no one wants s to go to real war, so he can take bite-size chunks out but by bit, pause to digest, and then take another bite or two. He knows that taking an ENTIRE country would be too much for world leaders to accept, so he is just taking parts.
I expect this to continue off and on until such time as the US and/or NATO start signaling more than just sanctions.
He annexed Crimea. Then he paused and waited. After a sufficient time for the world to more or less forget that Crimea belongs to Ukraine and accept the status quo, he began preparing for his next move.
He has now occupied Luhansk and Donetsk, and unilaterally declared them independent of the Ukraine. He will solidify his hold on these two regions, fortify them with Russian troops, and eventually "invite" them to join Russia, annexing those regions, as well. Then he will wait a few years, and take his next bite. The only consolation is that Putin is 69. He will likely die before he can finish the job.
I expect this to continue off and on until such time as the US and/or NATO start signaling more than just sanctions.
He annexed Crimea. Then he paused and waited. After a sufficient time for the world to more or less forget that Crimea belongs to Ukraine and accept the status quo, he began preparing for his next move.
He has now occupied Luhansk and Donetsk, and unilaterally declared them independent of the Ukraine. He will solidify his hold on these two regions, fortify them with Russian troops, and eventually "invite" them to join Russia, annexing those regions, as well. Then he will wait a few years, and take his next bite. The only consolation is that Putin is 69. He will likely die before he can finish the job.
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SFC Casey O'Mally
I stand corrected. And am willing to admit I got it wrong.
Putin hasn't gone "whole hog," yet; but he certainly went at least half hog, as compared to the nibbles I expected.
Putin hasn't gone "whole hog," yet; but he certainly went at least half hog, as compared to the nibbles I expected.
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CPT Lawrence Cable
I'll point out that the borders for the Ukraine have fluctuated for that last couple of centuries. The Crimea was not administered by the Ukraine until 1959 when it was still a Soviet State and it has a predominately ethnic Russian population. It is also home of the Russian Black Sea Fleet and their only warm water port. Luhansk and Donetsk were originally part of the Donbas and wasn't part of the Ukraine until 1922, and again during the Soviet Era and heavily ethnic and culturally Russian.
Before we get too self righteous, lets remember that NATO blessed or intervened in the favor of ethnic majorities in Croatia, Bosnia and Kosovo and recognized them as their own countries, to the detriment of the Serbian minorities.
My guess is that Putin will occupy all of the old Donbas and tell the Ukrainians to suck eggs. I personally doubt that he wants to have to deal with the Ukrainian parts of the Country, which isn't doing very well under their present leadership.
Before we get too self righteous, lets remember that NATO blessed or intervened in the favor of ethnic majorities in Croatia, Bosnia and Kosovo and recognized them as their own countries, to the detriment of the Serbian minorities.
My guess is that Putin will occupy all of the old Donbas and tell the Ukrainians to suck eggs. I personally doubt that he wants to have to deal with the Ukrainian parts of the Country, which isn't doing very well under their present leadership.
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It appears that Putin is staging this in a manner that Russia will be invited in. Russia has recognized two areas are independent states which gives them the right and ability to ask for foreign assistance. Like him or hate him but don't discount Putin, he is not stupid.
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SFC (Join to see)
Well, if you admire that dictator you might as well pack and move to Russia...bye Felicia, no one is gonna miss you!!
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POTUS answered both of these this morning loud and clear, no and yes. Which then the Russians heard “green light” loud and clear. Also heard Ukraine is not Part of NATO .
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