Analysis of the 500mb temperatures and corresponding thickness values, favor a cold snap, a few days or warmer temperatures, then a couple of strong cooling, followed by yet lower thickness values. In short, cooling temperatures trending towards cold. Over the area north of Alaska and Canada is a very large and expansive area of colder temperatures. Naturally colder temperatures hold less moisture and with the East Coast and SE United States. Now, in a perfect world, then it means temps rise and moisture decreases. A cold snap, with a Miller Climate model would have to be monitored. Nothing remarkable with ENSO and La Nina, except a trend of cooler than average temperatures the ITCZ (Inter Tropical Convergence Zone), with a well below average temperature extending towards the ICTZ. The result being a very narrow area of cold temperatures.
An interesting setup, subject to changes, as conditions will naturally change, dictated by thickness values, Jet Streams and Climatic Models. More to follow.
Meteorologist Larry Olson.
If you just follow the lead of models, they are many. As a consequence of these wide deviations, long term forecasts are really subjective.
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