Posted on Oct 16, 2023
CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
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Given the Israel - Palestine War in the Middle East; the Russia - Ukraine War in Europe, and; the China - U.S. in the Far East. Where will World War III erupt?
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Responses: 13
LTC Self Employed
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If it goes nuclear, The climate change fanatics will commit suicide. Because they will no longer have a mission. And millions would have the fake inflation reduction act that took $360 billion dollars away from the defense budget and put it toward slave labor making green hardware in China for third world countries paid for by the USA.

This is a free article once you register.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/culture/article/110223-nuclear-war-winter-global-warming-environment-science-climate-change


PO1 William "Chip" Nagel LTC Eugene Chu
SMSgt Lawrence McCarter Lt Col Charlie Brown Lt Col John (Jack) Christensen CPT Jack Durish LTC Stephen F. CSM Charles Hayden 1SG Russell S. 1SG Patrick Burke SFC Dr. Jesus Garcia-Arce, Psy.D SFC Joe S. Davis Jr., MSM, DSL SFC John D. LTC Trent Klug CDR Andrew McMenamin, PhD Col (Join to see) 1st Lt Padre Dave Poedel CPT (Join to see)
COL Randall C.
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LTC Self Employed
LTC (Join to see)
4 mo
SSG Douglas Shaffer Congress, not the President can do this. Only Congress can mandate no gas powered cars by 2035. Only Congress can mandate no natural gas after 2035. Only congress can vote on it and the president approve it or veto it and congress could override him. Instead, present Biden is the modern day Hitler in a sense.

In the meantime, Children die worldwide due to lithium and cobalt demand. Third world countries don't have restrictions on child labor laws like we do.

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/01/child-labour-behind-smart-phone-and-electric-car-batteries/

Alaska has a lawsuit against the federal government. Why are you an apologist for the green new deal? People that have everything go through China, even though china and India are given exemptions For compliance on green energy until 2060!! I bet you they won't keep their promise and they're the ones who pollute the most.
PO1 William "Chip" Nagel LTC Eugene Chu
SMSgt Lawrence McCarter Lt Col Charlie Brown Lt Col John (Jack) Christensen CPT Jack Durish LTC Stephen F. CSM Charles Hayden 1SG Russell S. 1SG Patrick Burke SFC Dr. Jesus Garcia-Arce, Psy.D SFC Joe S. Davis Jr., MSM, DSL SFC John D. LTC Trent Klug CDR Andrew McMenamin, PhD Col (Join to see) 1st Lt Padre Dave Poedel CPT (Join to see)
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SSG Douglas Shaffer
SSG Douglas Shaffer
4 mo
LTC (Join to see) - That report is a nice report, Yes, the US receives a lot of oil from Canada. However, the fact that the US would not see a drop of oil form the Keystone remains the same. It runs from Canada to Huston to a refinery company it is processed and then shipped to Mexico then it goes to China.
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SSG Douglas Shaffer
SSG Douglas Shaffer
4 mo
LTC (Join to see) - Oh, so now you're worried about child labor laws around the world to which the US might gain from.
So, are you going to stop using your phone? Are you going to stop eating fruits and vegetables? Are you going to stop using electronic? How about all clothing that is made from cotton or has cotton in it. Are you and your kids going to stop eating candy bars made with chocolate.
Sure, I feel deeply bad for those kids. Yes, we have laws in place to not buy from such companies the practice child labor. However, we have no say as to whom they buy from.
Again, I ask please stay current. A lot to read here and really informative.
https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/ILAB/child_labor_reports/tda2021/2022-TVPRA-List-of-Goods-v3.pdf
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SFC Dr. Jesus Garcia-Arce, Psy.D
SFC Dr. Jesus Garcia-Arce, Psy.D
4 mo
Not doubt Sir
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SFC Casey O'Mally
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None of these.

All of these regional conflicts will remain regional.

China is just posturing - and so is the US. Neither of us is willing to actually start a war. At least not right now. In another year or 10, who knows?

And the Israel-Gaza thing? I see a couple regional nations funneling aid in a proxy war, but none of them willing to actually go to WAR with Israel. Not after what happened the last time they tried. And not with the US still backing Israel.

And if Ukraine was going to erupt and expand, it already would have. Quite frankly, this is the only one that non-regional powers actually care about (because WESTERNERS are being invaded, zOMG). And if we have gone a year and a half without Russia swallowing Ukraine and moving on (which would have triggered expansion) and ALSO without NATO or EU declaring war, then the chances of it happening now are diminishing small.

None of these are good situations. But none of them are so bad that non-regional powers will be pulled into actual war declarations.
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CPT Lawrence Cable
CPT Lawrence Cable
7 mo
SFC Casey O'Mally - India has never been especially US friendly and we allied with Pakistan for years, the reason escapes me on the Pakistan thing. Originally, India's nuclear program was aimed at China, not Pakistan. However, I agree that I don't see any real change in the status quo of the Area. Pakistan isn't stable enough to be much of a threat and China is more worried about making money. N.Korea will act Crazy until someone caves and gives them aid, just like Kim's daddy and his Granddaddy did before him. The two stabilizing forces in the Area IMO are India, which has a fairly large standing Army that is relatively modern, and the South Koreans, which as a very Modern and capable Military.

Israel has always proven they are capable of taking care of themselves and with the present Israeli Leadership, I would suspect that they are getting ready to level Gaza. As far as Ukraine is concerned, I they don't lose most of the support in the West, especially in the US, before winter, I'll be shocked.
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CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
7 mo
SFC Casey O'Mally, the number of nukes in India and Pakistan are known, yet China can be estimated.
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SFC Casey O'Mally
SFC Casey O'Mally
7 mo
CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
I fully suspect that we only THINK we know how many are there.
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MSG Thomas Currie
MSG Thomas Currie
1 mo
SFC Casey O'Mally I'm not as confident as you are about the Russia-Ukraine conflict not escalating. The problem is that unlike all the proxy wars of the past, this conflict involves one of the 'major powers' directly rather than in a supporting role. Putin cannot afford to lose, but as long a NATO supports Ukraine there is almost no chance of Russia winning in a conventional war.

Russia went into Ukraine expecting to take Kiev in a week and to be finished and back home (with a pro-Russian puppet government installed) in less than a month. That didn't work out the way they expected. The question now is whether Russia is willing to continue a war of attrition that they would certainly win eventually as the west tires of sending billions of dollars, pounds, and euros to Ukraine, or if they feel a need to accelerate the process.

So far as I know, Russian military doctrine still includes the possible use of "tactical" nuclear weapons.
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PO3 LaVerne Smikrud
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I suspect it will begin with the Israel conflict and expand from there. I think it will be followed closely behind by China invading Taiwan. I don't think the Russia/Ukraine war will grow any larger unless the United States stops backing Ukraine. This could happen, though, if we get tangled up with the Arab countries, China and North Korea at the same time.
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CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
6 mo
The Russia-Ukraine Conflict has been ongoing now for 607 days. Russia is losing steam having turned to Iran for drones; China for support, and; the DPRK for rockets and missiles to sustain itself in this war...for how long can this continue? Reliance on allies comes at a cost.

Ukraine is getting military and financial assistance from its western allies to prevent Russia from winning the war over freedom on its soil. The U.S. and its European allies are indirectly at war with Russia in Ukraine...will these foreign funds eventually dry up? The answer is how deep into debt is the west willing to go to deny Ukraine to Russia.

China invading Taiwan seems far-fetched, since the U.S. and a contingent of the NATO in the Indo-Pacific region are ready to deny China the freedom of Taiwan and control of Taiwan Straits. The sparring will continue as long as both sides remain fixated on their positions over this island nation.

I doubt WWIII can erupt in any of these three regional conflicts, given the situation in each conflict.

China wants to dominate and create a new world order. China wants to invade India and claim Ladakh following its victory over Aksai Chin in 1952. China also wants Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim that belongs to India. Pakistan wants the Kashmir Valley which is a Union Territory of India, as is Ladakh. China squeezes India from the east into Ladakh and southeast into Sikkim and Arunachal, while Pakistan squeezes India from the west into Punjab and the Kashmir Valley. Can India sustain such pressure?

In the Sino-India-Pak standoff there are other external interferences which India has been dealing with expertly thus far. How long can India sustain this war that involves foreign relations?

Can this be a lull before the storm?
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CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
CPT Gurinder (Gene) Rana
6 mo
All this is psychological warfare and nothing else, PO3 LaVerne Smikrud.
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